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Pat Caddell: Breitbart/Gravis Post-Debate Flash Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Won Slightly; Trump Gains ‘Plausibility’

HEMPSTEAD, NY - SEPTEMBER 26:  during the Presidential Debate at Hofstra University on September 26, 2016 in Hempstead, New York.  The first of four debates for the 2016 Election, three Presidential and one Vice Presidential, is moderated by NBC's Lester Holt.  (Photo by Rick Wilking - Pool/Getty Images)
Rick Wilking - Pool/Getty Images
by Neil W. McCabe26 Sep 2016Washington2,535

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Democratic nominee for president Hillary Clinton edged her GOP rival Donald Trump in Monday’s presidential held at Hofstra University before a television audience estimated at 100 million viewers, according to a Breitbart/Gravis “flash poll” conducted minutes after the debate ended.

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Pat Caddell, the Democratic pollster and Fox News Insider, told Breitbart News that poll respondents said Clinton performed better at the debate; 48 percent said Clinton did a better job, compared to 43 percent, who said Trump did the better job.
“However, 95 percent of the people we contacted told us they were not going to change their vote based on the debate,” Caddell said.
Two percent of voters, previously undecided, switched to Trump after the debate. No undecideds went to Clinton. One percent switched from Trump to Clinton, and one percent switched from Clinton to Trump.
Trump won on the most critical factor, on whether Clinton or Trump was more ‘plausible’ as president, 46 percent to her 42 percent,” he said.
“That for him is really what this debate was really about,” he said.
Participants said they thought Clinton had a better grasp of the issues, by 48 percent to his 40 percent.
“What really happened was she won on the issues and he won on plausibility,” Caddell said.
“I was really surprised by this–because it is usually a question that plays well with Democrats–‘Who showed that they care about people like you?’ Trump won that 49 percent to 44 percent for her,” he said.
In other questions, 49 percent said Trump was more honest and 42 percent said Clinton was more honest.
Forty-eight percent of respondents said in the debate Trump showed he would be a strong leader, compared with 44 percent for Clinton.
“With regards to expectations, 26 percent said Trump did better than they expected,” he said.
“Clinton clearly did better than expected with 46 percent telling us that and only 20 percent telling us she did worse,” he said. “The point is that despite that, Trump actually benefited from the debate tonight.”
Nobody knows more about the history of presidential debates or presidential debate polls than he does, he said.
“Trump, as the challenger in this race, has a so-s0 performance against Clinton, but he gained what he needed,” he said.
“Like most debates, this debate did not shift the race. What it did do was show Trump as plausible, as a strong leader and more importantly that he cares about people,” he said. “Trump really helped himself out tonight.”
Caddell said he was very happy with the Brietbart/Gravis sample. “I am proud that we used a serious sample, unlike other outlets that were heavily skewed.”
Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling firm that executed the poll, said, “Before the debate, we contacted 3,000 registered voters and 1,700 of them agreed to be part of our poll sample, we did not stop dialing until we reached 890 of them to ensure we had a strong sample.” The poll carries a 3.3 percent margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.
The poll was executed with automated phone calls with results weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.
 
 
Current National Polling
September 26, 2016
Executive Summary 
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, in conjunction with Breitbart News Network, conducted a random survey of 890 registered voters across the United States following the first presidential debate on September 26
th
. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.3% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by voting patterns. Founded in 2005 by conservative icon Andrew Breitbart, Breitbart News Network is the biggest source of  breaking news and analysis, thought-leading commentary, and original reporting curated and written specifically for the new generation of independent and conservative thinkers. Known for hard hitting, no hold-barred journalism along with world-class aggregation, Breitbart news is growing rapidly. The company recently added bureaus in London, Texas, and California, and is currently in the process of launching additional bureaus and verticals.
Q1: Who do you think did the best job in the debate? Q2: Did Donald Trump do better or worse, or about what you expected, in the debate tonight?
 
Contact: Dou Kalan 407-242-1870
 
 
Q3: Did Hillary Clinton do better or worse than you expected in the debate? Q4: Who do you think showed they were plausible to be president? Q5: Who do you think did the best job on the issues? Q6: Who do you think was more honest? Q7: Who showed they would be a strong leader? Q8: Who do you think showed that they care about people like you?
 
 
Q9: Based on their performance in tonight's debate, have you changed your mind about who you intend to vote for? Q10: If you changed your mind, which of the following apply: Of individuals that changed their mind: Q11: If you did not change your mind, who are you still for?
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Comment count on this article reflects comments made on Breitbart.com and Facebook. Visit Breitbart's Facebook Page.
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