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Debate Discussion Thread (self.badeconomics)

irwin08Please Print[M] が 投稿 - announcement

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[–]Webby2750 2ポイント3ポイント  (1子コメント)

The wall is down. The reign of the mods is over. The reign of the alts shall begin...

[–]mrregmonkeyONLY THE MODS CAN FIX BADECONOMICS 2ポイント3ポイント  (1子コメント)

Oh god. 538 has it as a coin flip.

This is fucking scary.

I would like off Donald's wild ride.

[–]besttrousers 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

I really don't understand their trend line adjustment. Basically, all their swing state polls would show a slight Hillary lead, except that they are spotting Trump ~2 points or so.

I want to believe that this is effectively what is causing the higher variance in 538's model, vs. Upshot/Prediction markets.

cc /u/Jericho_Hill

[–]theojones2© 2016 Paid For By Correct The Record 1ポイント2ポイント  (4子コメント)

Do you think we will get the crude and vulgar Trump of the GOP debates tonight or the Trump of the last few weeks that tries to act rationally?

[–]Viol33In the long run, we're all archived and cannot be upvoted 5ポイント6ポイント  (0子コメント)

My fear is that he is able to give an emotionally compelling rendition of his stump speech early in the debate with Hillary being unengaged and wonkish. Just 15 minutes of that would be enough to allow the Twitter noise about her being low-energy and boring to control the entire post-debate narrative.

She needs to get him pissed-off, on his heels, and feeling emasculated EARLY.

[–]BEE_REAL_I've made a huge mistake 3ポイント4ポイント  (0子コメント)

He has no teleprompter, there's no way he's gonna act like a regular human being

[–]SuhDewwKeynes did Tulip Mania 3ポイント4ポイント  (0子コメント)

I predict Trump can control himself from being a sputtering asshole for exactly 35 minutes. After Clinton prods him a few good times, I see him losing his grip and regressing into a total meltdown. He can't fake 90 minutes, we've seen how abysmal his impulse controls are.

That's just my personal praxx though.

[–]josiahstevenson 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

inshallah the former

[–]Webby912Whiny baby being whiny -2ポイント-1ポイント  (7子コメント)

stopdemocracynow

[–]BEE_REAL_I've made a huge mistake 4ポイント5ポイント  (4子コメント)

#teachwebbyhowtohashtag

[–]Webby912Whiny baby being whiny -2ポイント-1ポイント  (3子コメント)

Omg how'd you do that

[–]BEE_REAL_I've made a huge mistake 4ポイント5ポイント  (0子コメント)

#checkthecommentsourceyouluddite

[–]Homeboy_JesusOn average economists are pretty mean 0ポイント1ポイント  (1子コメント)

Put a backslash before the character that reddit's text box will change. "\#stopdemocracynow" would render your post properly.

[–]Webby912Whiny baby being whiny 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

#thanks

[–]VonCrunchhausen 0ポイント1ポイント  (1子コメント)

I'd rather not let Trump become dictator-for-life, thanks.

[–]Webby912Whiny baby being whiny 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Democracy led us here, you think Bernanke would have hand selected trump?

[–]Webby912Whiny baby being whiny -4ポイント-3ポイント  (0子コメント)

thirdpartyvoterswillburn