Climate Reporter at @ThinkProgress. Send your hot earth tips to spage@thinkprogress.org
6 hrs ago6 min read
Donald Trump filled out a survey about science and it is amazing
Answers to a science survey show lack of either knowledge or policy.
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a rally in Asheville, N.C. CREDIT: AP PHOTO/EVAN VUCCI
Science is hard. At least, it seems to be for Donald Trump, who this week gave contradictory, off-topic, and sometimes garbled answers to a science questionnaire distributed by Science Debate, a non-profit that urges scientific literacy and accountability from political candidates.
“Science is science.” — Donald Trump, 2016
The survey on the 20 “most pressing” scientific issues of our time, ranging from internet freedom to climate change to mental health, is intended to give voters and reporters an idea of where the candidates stand. Trump, Hillary Clinton, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein all responded.
“Science is central to policies that protect public health, safety and the environment, from climate change to diet related diseases,” Andrew Rosenberg, director of the Center for Science and Democracy at the Union of Concerned Scientists, said in a statement accompanying the candidates’ responses. “Reporters as well as voters should use these statements on science to push the candidates for more details on how they intend on addressing these many societal challenges.”
It’s worth examining this answer from the Republican nominee and pondering what, if anything, is revealed:
My administration will work with Congress to establish priorities for our government and how we will allocate our limited fiscal resources. This approach will assure [sic] that the people’s voices will be heard on this topic and others.
This is Trump’s entire answer to a question on oceanic health. It certainly says nothing about offshore drilling, ocean acidification, algal blooms, coral bleaching, or overfishing. It describes, to some extent, how Washington works (the president and Congress establish priorities and allocate funding). But the approach described assures no one — nor does it ensure anything. It’s difficult to ascertain what he is even writing about.
Trump’s answer to the biodiversity question is much longer, but it is almost as vague. It is worth reading in full, but the short version is that presidents have over-reached, unelected regulators are corrupt, elected representatives are also corrupt, we need “shared governance,” and a Trump administration will balance everyone’s needs. Again, there are no policy suggestions and no acknowledgement of why biodiversity is important.
But in a polarized, post-fact world, climate change is the science question of our time. Scientists have determined that runaway greenhouse gas emissions, largely from burning fossil fuels, are threatening catastrophic, irreversible climate change. Again, Trump offers no suggestions.
“There is still much that needs to be investigated in the field of ‘climate change,’” Trump begins. Scare-quotes aside, this is actually true. We are constantly learning more and more about the effects of a warming climate, the emissions rates of greenhouse gases, and the interaction between land use and climate change. As we learn more, we can make better decisions about how to protect a livable environment. As we learn more, we can make better decisions about where to focus our mitigation efforts.
But Trump spends the rest of his answer pondering what we might find out:
Perhaps the best use of our limited financial resources should be in dealing with making sure that every person in the world has clean water. Perhaps we should focus on eliminating lingering diseases around the world like malaria. Perhaps we should focus on efforts to increase food production to keep pace with an ever-growing world population. Perhaps we should be focused on developing energy sources and power production that alleviates the need for dependence on fossil fuels. We must decide on how best to proceed so that we can make lives better, safer and more prosperous.
On the one hand, this isn’t the worst answer Trump could have given. (That would be: It’s a hoax perpetrated by China). On the other hand, Trump fails to demonstrate a basic understanding that the issues he is bringing up are all directly related to and exacerbated by climate change. Water? Check. Vector-borne disease? Check. Food production? Check. Energy? Check. While we need to address these issues, we need to acknowledge that addressing climate change will do more to protect the livable environment than any other single issue.
In contrast, Clinton’s answers — unsurprisingly, for a candidate who has more than 130,000 words of policy on her campaign site — were much more detailed. For climate, she offers a three-pronged approach that includes transitioning to clean electricity, improving building efficiency, and reducing transportation oil consumption.
Trump takes the opportunity to outline a few, brief policy ideas, such as a public education program on “the values [sic] of a comprehensive vaccination program,” a strong space program, and development of “every possible energy source.”
Several times, Trump emphasizes the need to protect clean water resources, saying it “may be the most important issue we face as a nation for the next generation.” Clean water, as a pillar of actual life, is incredibly important. It would be difficult to find anyone — Republican, Democrat, black, white, young, old — who did not acknowledge the importance of clean water. But in the United States, clean drinking water has been largely protected by the work of the EPA under the Clean Water Act and the Safe Drinking Water Act. At the moment, the agency is in a court battle to save the Waters of the United States rule, which would protect drinking water sources for a third of Americans.
Trump has said he would dismantle the EPA, which raises the question of how, exactly, his administration would protect the country’s drinking water at all.
His other answers are filled with contradictions.
Under the question about mental illness, Trump takes a holistic approach, calling for national, local, and familial roles in mental health care. “We must ensure that the national government provides the support to state and local governments to bring mental health care to the people at the local level,” he writes. “This entire field of interest must be examined and a comprehensive solution set must be developed so that we can keep people safe and productive.”
“Examine” “develop” — these are words that sound suspiciously like research and policy. But don’t be misled. Trump is not always for more research — even when it comes to health.
“The implication of the [public health] question is that one must provide more resources to research and public health enterprises to make sure we stay ahead of potential health risks,” he writes. “Our efforts to support research and public health initiatives will have to be balanced with other demands for scarce resources. Working with Congress — the people’s representatives — my administration will work to establish national priorities and then we will work to make sure that adequate resources are assigned to achieve our goals.”
Congress, ironically, is in the middle of a fight about Zika prevention funding.
“Science is science and facts are facts,” Trump writes at the end of the survey. “My administration will ensure that there will be total transparency and accountability without political bias. The American people deserve this and I will make sure this is the culture of my administration.”
The American people do deserve science without political bias, but Trump has written nothing about how he will achieve it.
Trump is often criticized for speaking off the cuff, but in this chance to clearly lay out his positions on science, readers are left with more questions than answers.
If this were a take-home, open-book science test, Trump just failed.
Next Story — Record-smashing August means long-awaited ‘jump’ in global warming is here
Currently Reading - Record-smashing August means long-awaited ‘jump’ in global warming is here
Dr. Joe Romm is Founding Editor of Climate Progress, “the indispensable blog,” as NY Times columnist Tom Friedman describes it.
6 hrs ago3 min read
Record-smashing August means long-awaited ‘jump’ in global warming is here
Every month of 2016 has set a temperature record.
NASA temperature analysis for August: “Another month, another record.” Credit: NASA
We appear to be in the midst of the long-awaited jump in global temperatures.
And that means “The kinds of extreme weather we have seen over the past year or so will be routine all too soon, but then even worse records will be set,” as Kevin Trenberth, one of the world’s leading climatologists, told me.
NASA has reported that last month was not merely “the warmest August in 136 years of modern record-keeping,” it tied with this July 2016 for the “warmest month ever recorded.” And for 11 straight months (starting October 2015), the world has set a new monthly record for high temperature.
So even though 2014 set the record at the time for the hottest year — and then 2015 crushed that record, NASA says there is a greater than 99 percent chance 2016 will top 2015. And it probably won’t be close according to this projection tweeted out by NASA’s Gavin Schmidt:
Land and ocean temperature index (LITI) with 2016 prediction. Credit: NASA
Why does this string of record-setting months and years matter? As I reported last year, climatologists have been expecting a “jump” in global temperatures. There is “a vast and growing body of research,” as Climate Central explained in February 2015 that “humanity is about to experience a historically unprecedented spike in temperatures.”
A March 2015 study, “Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change,” makes clear that an actual acceleration in the rate of global warming is imminent — with Arctic warming rising a stunning 1°F per decade by the 2020s.
More than 90 percent of global heating goes into the oceans (see excellent article here) — and ocean warming has accelerated in recent years. Climatologist Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research explained here in 2013 that “a global temperature increase occurs in the latter stages of an El Niño event, as heat comes out of the ocean and warms the atmosphere.”
Well, we are indeed at the end of an El Niño event, and we have indeed seen a big global temperature increase. In April 2015, Trenberth told me thought “a jump is imminent.” Previously he had explained that this jump could be 0.2°C or 0.3°C, which is to say up to 0.5°F! That change would happen “relatively abruptly,” but last for 5 or 10 years before it jumped again.
It looks like Trenberth was right (though it will take a few years to know for sure). When I asked him to comment on the stunning jump in global temperatures we’ve seen in the last 18 months, he said:
“The increase in carbon dioxide and other heat trapping gases from human activities is relentless. The effects on global mean surface temperatures can be masked by natural variability for a decade or a bit more, but as the natural variability goes in the other direction, suddenly it is quite a different story and record after record gets broken.”
That’s where we are. Global temperatures often jump over a couple years, then they rise more slowly, like a staircase (or ladder) where the steps are sloped up. The climate science deniers make a lot of noise during the short periods of slower warming, and stay strangely quiet during the jumps. Go figure!
Trenberth explains that “the nature of the changes going on now suggest that we have made another step up the ladder to another rung, and we won’t go down again.” That means the recent bouts of extreme weather “will be routine all too soon, but then even worse records will be set. It is not something to welcome and it is hard to plan for.”
It is time to slash carbon pollution so we can stop climbing this stairway of ever-worsening extreme weather and climate change.
Next Story — Arctic death spiral: Icebreakers reach North Pole as sea ice disintegrates
Currently Reading - Arctic death spiral: Icebreakers reach North Pole as sea ice disintegrates
Dr. Joe Romm is Founding Editor of Climate Progress, “the indispensable blog,” as NY Times columnist Tom Friedman describes it.
yesterday3 min read
Arctic death spiral: Icebreakers reach North Pole as sea ice disintegrates
Second-lowest sea ice minimum, lowest average annual sea ice extent
Canadian icebreaker “greeted at the North Pole by Santa Claus and his mailbox.” Credit: Science.gc.ca
Arctic sea ice continued its long-term death spiral in 2016, thanks to warming-driven ice melt. As the ice sheet shrinks and thins, it’s becoming easier and easier for icebreakers to reach the North Pole.
The Arctic has been setting records for warmth and sea ice loss and Greenland ice sheet melt, as we’ve been reporting all year long. Last week, 46,000 square miles of sea ice (almost the size of England) disintegrated in one day, which is triple the normal rate.
The result is that the Arctic sea ice minimum has hit the second lowest level on record, as this chart from Tamino shows:
Credit: TAMINO
The trend of long-term decline is pretty clear. Of course, the climate science deniers look at this chart and see a “rebound” from the superlow sea ice extent minimum of 2012.
Tamino has an excellent chart for the ostrich crowd. He averages the sea ice extent over 12 months — the September-through-August period. As this chart shows, this most recent year was the lowest on record:
Sea ice extent averaged from September-through-August. Credit: TAMINO
As the Arctic air and waters warm, ice thickness decreases, too. As one leading expert pointed out, “The ice cap this spring was close to the thinnest we have ever seen.”
The region around the North Pole, in particular, has been disintegrating. Icebreakers from Canada and Sweden visited the pole as part of a joint scientific expedition (see top photo from the Government of Canada’s official science portal, Science.gc.ca). Icebreakers have been visiting the pole for years, but as Mark Serreze, director of the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center, told Mashable, this year even a sailboat “could actually sail nearly all the way to the North Pole, since sea ice cover is largely absent to about 86 degrees north.”
Here is an image (from seaice.de) that Ph.D. candidate Zack Labe tweeted out about revealing “the fragmented Arctic sea ice near the North Pole”:
Scientists have long predicted that human-caused warming would be at least twice as fast in the Arctic as in the planet as a whole thanks to Arctic Amplification — a process that includes higher temperatures melting highly reflective white ice and snow, which is replaced by the dark blue sea or dark land, both of which absorb more solar energy and lead to more melting.
Tragically, what happens in the Arctic does not stay in the Arctic. The accelerated loss of Arctic sea ice drives more extreme weather in North America, while accelerating the disintegration of the Greenland ice sheet (leading to faster sea level rise) and the defrosting of the permafrost, which contains more of carbon than the atmosphere currently does.
We are terraforming our home planet, and the process is spinning out of control. Most experts see warning signs, but the oil industry can only see dollar signs — the opportunity to drill for more fossil fuels that will put more heat-trapping carbon pollution into the air.
Humanity, like the Arctic, is now on very thin ice.
Next Story — The Technological Innovations Saving Thousands Of Women And Children From Preventable Deaths
Currently Reading - The Technological Innovations Saving Thousands Of Women And Children From Preventable Deaths
General Reporter at ThinkProgress. Contact me: lraymond@thinkprogress.org
5 days ago8 min read
The Technological Innovations Saving Thousands Of Women And Children From Preventable Deaths
CREDIT: FLICKR
The atrium of the Washington, D.C. government building looks like a particularly high-class science fair. The people manning poster-board stations, however, are all adults — and rather than rather than baking-soda volcanoes, their displays are nearly all adorned with pictures of mothers and children.
The presentations are part of the sixth year of “Saving Lives At Birth,” a development challenge spearheaded by a variety of partners, including USAID, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, to come up with audacious solutions to one of the oldest problems in the book: the high rate of death of women and babies in childbirth.
For many people around the world, the time between labor and 48 hours after delivery is one of the statistically riskiest times of their life. Globally, 2.7 million babies die shortly after birth every year, in addition to 2.6 million stillbirths. Neonatal deaths make up nearly half of the world’s child deaths, according to numbers from UNICEF. For mothers, the data is also stark: 303,000 women die every year in childbirth — about two every minute. 99 percent of these deaths occur in the developing world.
“Maternal and neonatal health is really not an area that had been getting as much attention.”
While child deaths have declined by half in the past 25 years, neonatal mortality has remained a persistent problem — even here in the United States, which has one of the worst records on infant mortality in the developed world. Many of these deaths are entirely preventable. But despite how often politicians talk about the need to protect babies when they’re in the womb, comparable attention hasn’t been given to how to protect babies when they’ve entered the world.
“It’s an area where we’ve really had a lack of innovation and a lack of new ideas on how we can do a much better job at saving lives in some of these most vulnerable populations,” Wendy Taylor, the director of USAID’s Center for Accelerating Innovation and Impact, told ThinkProgress at the presentation.
That’s where Saving Lives at Birth comes in. Supported by a directive by the Obama administration, which Taylor says has “put a huge emphasis on maternal health,” it’s one venture that aims to change the global picture by supporting science and innovation targeted at saving mothers and babies.
Since the program launched in 2011, inventors from over 100 countries have submitted 3,500 ideas to help address the problem. Successful inventors are given support, mentorship, and money by the program as they try to enter their products in markets all around the world; to date, the program estimates that the inventions have helped 1.5 million women and newborns and saved about 10,000 lives.
“It’s this grand challenge to identify groundbreaking innovations to save the lives of mothers and newborns,” said Taylor. “We’re really interested in the gamechangers, these big ideas that lead to serious improvements in maternal and neonatal health.”
Here are a few of the highlights from the initiative:
The Argentine Car Mechanic Who Dreamed How To Save Babies
Innovations can come from anywhere — college students, entrepreneurs, NGOs, corporations. In fact, one of Saving Lives at Birth’s most interesting and widely-covered ideas came from an Argentine car mechanic.
Jorge Odon says that the idea for the Odon Device — which helps women give birth when the baby is trapped in the birth canal by using suction from a plastic bag — came to him in his sleep after he watched a YouTube video about how to take a cork out of a wine bottle. He built his first prototype in his kitchen using a doll, a glass bottle and a fabric bag.
Now, the device has been developed into a viable birthing tool: when a doctor uses the Odon device, they slip a plastic bag inside a lubricated sleeve and inflate it to grip the head and pull on it — pulling out the baby with less risk of infection and less cost than cesarean sections or other ways of pulling the baby out.
A depiction of the Odon Device, CREDIT: SCREENSHOT, YOUTUBE
“The Odon Device is a great story about how great innovations can come from anywhere,” said Taylor.
It’s still being tested for safety before going to market, but it’s the first innovation in obstructive labor since doctors started using vacuum extractors decades ago, and since the forceps came around in the 1700’s.
An Umbilical Cord Antiseptic That Costs Pennies
In Nepal, nearly half of births occur at home and the umbilical cord is treated with the likes of tumeric powder, mustard oil, or cow dung — which can lead to dangerous infections. That’s partly why two in 100 Nepalese children die before they reach one month old.
But one idea that came out the Saving Lives at Birth initiative is already being put to widespread use in Nepal to address this.
Chlorhexidine is essentially a low-cost antiseptic for umbilical cords. It’s a relatively simple solution — a small tube that “costs pennies per dose” and has been shown in studies to reduce overall neonatal mortality by 24 percent when it replaces the traditional, infection-inducing standards of cord care.
“Even in Nepal alone [it has] already saved 9,000 lives,” said Taylor. “It’s a really exciting innovation.”
A Pump That Recycles Patients’ Blood
Many of the innovative ideas that come out of the challenge are, like Odon, seemingly out of left field — but incredibly simple once described.
One of them, developed by a female-led Global Health company named Sisu, aims to disrupt the blood donation market in Africa, where a severe shortage of blood donations and the subsequent high cost of blood — up to $250 per unit — leaves many doctors high and dry in the case of an emergency, like a childbirth during which a woman is losing a lot of blood.
Instead of relying on expensive or unavailable donor blood, doctors can recycle blood from internal bleeding and redirect it, a process called auto-transfusion. But many health centers in the developing world can’t afford the expensive machines used in Western hospitals to filter blood. Instead, in operating rooms in African countries, attendants may use a bucket, a soup ladle, and gauze to scoop out and filter blood before using it.
The Hemafuse, invented by Sisu, is an cost-effective, hygienic alternative to the soup ladle — it resembles a giant pump that cleanly and effectively pulls out the blood, filters it, and transfers it to a blood bag where it can be used for surgery, including surgery from childbirth complications and ruptured ectopic pregnancies. It’s still being developed, but its advocates estimate it could save nearly 300,000 lives per year in Ghana, where Sisu aims to introduce it first.
A Bracelet To Monitor Newborns’ Body Temperature
Some innovations — like the Hemafuse — are developed because of the cost barriers the developing world faces to high standards of care. Others come out of specific market needs.
Ratul Narain, founder of the company Bempu, developed his device after extensive observation and consultation with pediatricians in India, which has the highest rate of death due to preterm babies in the world. One of the main reasons for the high death rate is low birth weight, and a corresponding high risk of hypothermia — if a baby’s temperature drops even a bit, they will start burning necessary body fat, putting them at severe risk of brain damage or death.
In the United States, for example, such children are kept in the hospital until they’ve gained enough weight to leave without constant risk. But in India, many families don’t have that luxury, and the only hope is constant vigilance 24 hours a day — a tough ask for an exhausted new mother, particularly one with a job, a household, or other children to care for.
“Practically, that has limited accuracy, and the mother has to be trained on it, and she has to do it, and she also has to sleep,” said Narain. The problem is deceptively simple: the babies need to be watched constantly to ensure that they’re warm enough. However, in practical terms, constant, accurate attention is a difficult ask.
In response, Bempu developed a simple bracelet that accurately monitors the baby’s temperature full-time and acts as a warning system. Retailing for about $27 dollars, it provides round-the-clock protection for two months — the time when the baby is at the highest risk.
“The bracelet sits on the wrist of the baby and monitors it, and it blinks a soft blue light if the temperature is okay,” Narain told ThinkProgress. “If the baby is hypothermic at any time, it sounds an alarm and blinks a bright red light to wakes up the mother so she can warm the baby through kangaroo care [which is where she holds the baby next to her chest].”
Bempu is also working on developing a bootie that will help babies with apneas by ‘flicking’ their feet to remind them to keep breathing — currently, in India, the standard is crowded neonatal wards and harried nurses.
Affordable Screening Tests For Expectant Mothers
Preeclampsia — which first came to many people’s awareness when was featured in an episode of Downton Abbey — is a potentially deadly condition that effects expectant mothers. Marked by the swelling of the hands and feet, abnormally high protein content in the urine, and high blood pressure, it’s a leading cause of maternal mortality in developing countries, and complicates 2- 8 percent of all pregnancies.
In the Western world, frequent trips to the doctor or expensive automated diagnostic systems can identify preeclampsia so they can get the care they need before the condition turns deadly for the mother and the baby. However, those screening tests aren’t available to most women around the world, and especially not to those most at risk.
Multiple teams are working on finding accessible, low-cost ways to detect preeclampsia in mothers early. One of these, the Urine Congo Red Dot test, is a simple test for mother’s urine that detects one of the markers — a high rate of misfolded proteins.
It uses only a specially developed red dye and simple, cheap paper — the type used to make mailing labels. Overall, the cost to make the kit is less than 4 cents, and it uses widely-available products.
In the case of preeclampsia, as in the case of many diseases, the early screening can make the difference between life and death. Other teams are also working on diagnostic tests for HIV, syphilis, and other diseases — all focused on making accurate screening more accessible to more women.
Many of the devices that have come out of the “grand challenge” have, above all, emphasized ease and cost-effectiveness — everything from a fish-shaped block of iron that women can cook with to reduce anemia, to a simple measuring stick that mothers can hold up to their child's skin to see if they are developing jaundice. In the developing world especially, cost and lack of access to high-level care are the culprits behind many deaths, and by coming up with innovating solutions that work for more of the world, scientists and entrepreneurs can help save thousands of lives.
In other areas, though, the inventions address a need that people didn’t seem to realize was there — or a need that hasn’t been prioritized. Taylor blames the lack of innovation, at least partially, on a lack of funding.
“We’ve put a lot of money into innovations around the big attention-getters, into HIV, malaria, TB, and maternal and neonatal health is really not an area that had been getting as much attention,” she said.
But childbirth has always been dangerous for women and children. In many areas of modern life, smart innovations have made huge differences — and mothers and babies are one area that desperately need that attention.
Next Story — Sorry deniers, even satellites confirm record global warming
Currently Reading - Sorry deniers, even satellites confirm record global warming
Dr. Joe Romm is Founding Editor of Climate Progress, “the indispensable blog,” as NY Times columnist Tom Friedman describes it.
Sep 75 min read
Sorry deniers, even satellites confirm record global warming
The planet just had its hottest 12 months on record.
NASA global temperatures, 12-months running average, including the value for July, the hottest month ever recorded. Credit: Stefan Rahmstorf
The people who deny the facts of climate science for a living have had a really tough time recently.
For years they had been dining off the “there’s been no warming since 1998” talking point. But that one was mortally wounded when 2014 became the hottest year on record — and then it died entirely when 2015 blew away the 2014 record. And now a stake is being driven through the heart of this vampire again and again as every month of 2016 has been totally crushing both the record for hottest month and the record for hottest 12 months on record.
SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket delivering satellites to a supersynchronous transfer orbit, launching from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida on Sunday, March 1, 2015. CREDIT: FLICKR USER SPACEX
It’s just hard to keep pretending not to see the warming trend — even if that’s your job. The NASA chart above of land and ocean surface temperature makes clear there was no slow-down, no pause in long-term warming. If anything, warming is speeding up.
And so Ted Cruz and his fellow climate science deniers retreated to the (equally false) “satellites find no warming since 1998” talking point.
You will no doubt be shocked, shocked to learn that the satellite data has, in fact, confirmed global warming for a long time. Indeed Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr. John Christy of the University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH) reported earlier this year that the satellite data shows a “Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978 [of] +0.12 C [0.22F] per decade.” And Spencer and Christy are both leading deniers themselves!
You can see that yourselves in the data, which Spencer updates at the start of each month:
Satellite data confirms global warming. Credit: University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH)
Higher highs and higher lows — the warming trend is quite clear in the satellite data.
If you’re wondering why Spencer plots a 13-month running average when 13 months do not actually correspond to anything relevant to homo sapiens, well, you’ll have to ask him. It is slightly easier to do the math. In any case, here is the more meaningful 12-month running average from Sou at HotWhopper:
With August 2016, the 12-month moving average has hit a new record high, beating out the record set during the last super El Niño (whose temporary warming increase adds to the underlying long-term global warming trend and whose short-term impact on global temps tends to be bigger in the satellite data than in the surface data).
Turns out there is another set of satellite data, from the Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) that had appeared to show a relatively slow rate of global warming. It still showed warming, but the deniers never let the facts get in the way of a good myth.
But a recent study concluded that miscalculations of satellite drift explain why the Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) satellite temperature dataset has been low-balling global warming. Now here’s the funny part [not funny ha-ha, but that emoji where you are laughing so hard tears are coming out of your eyes and then you realize those aren’t tears of joys, they are just tears].
Even the deniers have long known that the RSS temperature data had been miscalculated. The thing is, the surface temperature data NASA reports directly measures the temperature at the surface where we live. The satellites indirectly measure the temperature of the lower atmosphere, where we don’t live, so they need a whole bunch of adjustments before they are is useful to anyone.
Way back in 2011, Spencer himself explained on his website: “my UAH cohort and boss John Christy, who does the detailed matching between satellites, is pretty convinced that the RSS data is undergoing spurious cooling because RSS is still using the old NOAA-15 satellite which has a decaying orbit, to which they are then applying a diurnal cycle drift correction based upon a climate model, which does not quite match reality.”
Long-story short, Spencer explains the UAH data is better because they use data from satellites that don’t drift. Then, like any responsible scientist in search of the truth, he goes on to urge everyone to use the superior UAH data even though it actually shows more global warming. Ha! Just kidding [insert new emoji here].
All jokes aside, Spencer actually wrote in 2011 “those of you who REALLY REALLY need the global temperature record to show as little warming as possible might want to consider jumping ship, and switch from the UAH to RSS dataset.”
Yes, Spencer was urging his fellow deniers to keep talking about a dataset that he knew was fatally compromised by an erroneous drift correction. Only hard-core climate science deniers will be surprised to learn that the recent study in the Journal of Climate by members of the RSS team finds that … wait for it … the RSS data had been low-balling recent global warming because of a flawed diurnal cycle drift correction.
And now that dataset has once again confirmed what multiple data streams have been reporting for a long time: there is a long-term warming trend, and it has been getting worse.
In truth, none of this is funny. The lies of the professional deniers get repeated by the politicians and right-wing media who oppose action — and all that helps slow our response to the greatest preventable threat to our health and well-being. That is a tragedy we must all fight against.
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