The polls might seem nutty but everything's pretty consistent with Clinton having a 3 or maybe 4 pt. lead among likely voters (+lotsa noise)
Direction is less clear now. Polls were moving toward Trump for a solid 3-4 weeks. But that trend's flattened out in the most recent data.
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@NateSilver538 There's a new ABC/Wash Post poll out tonight that has Clinton ahead 5 in a 4-way, and 8 in a 2-way.https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/clinton-holds-lead-over-trump-in-new-poll-but-warning-signs-emerge/2016/09/10/800dee0c-76c8-11e6-b786-19d0cb1ed06c_story.html … - その他の返信を表示
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@sweetsmoke1@NateSilver538 It's also +10 sampled Dems, and -3 from the last wapo poll - その他の返信を表示
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@DWSalts@NateSilver538 Where's your link to the +10 sample?? -
@DWSalts@NateSilver538 The ABC/Wash Post poll has an A+ rating from 538 and only a +.6 D sample.http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ … - その他の返信を表示
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@Women4Trump@DWSalts@NateSilver538 Trump lost this election when he sided w/Putin & had a lovefest with Russia. The debates will bury him. - その他の返信を表示
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@sweetsmoke1@Women4Trump@DWSalts Perhaps. If she can get through them all without having a seizure#HillarysHealthpic.twitter.com/neO1B1VW6C
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@NateSilver538 we'd suspect there's a national ceiling for Trump, but we all talked ceilings for Trump w/ Rs and they nominated him.. -
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@NateSilver538 polls lost credibility back in 2012 with@POTUS vs Romneypic.twitter.com/EGQ2gYhpdR - その他の返信を表示
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@TheBlkRepub357@NateSilver538@POTUS Polls weren't tightening with Rmoney before the debate. -
@Enopoletus@NateSilver538@POTUS once the debates start Polls will look different plus anyone with sense knows polls are always skewed. -
@TheBlkRepub357@NateSilver538@POTUS No, they really aren't skewed. Yes, polls will surely shift after debate.
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@NateSilver538 I missed that movement toward Trump for 4 wks. -
@NateSilver538@SebGorka The more charismatic candidate has won since 1980 and I don't see that changing this year. Go back and do research! -
@NateSilver538 Thanks, media. Hillary's emails 24/7 & next to nothing about Trump bribing 2 attorneys gen looking at Trump U, Florida & TX. -
@NateSilver538@KurtPzrLehr The debates will decide it. And the moderators will be aggressively anti-Trump -
@NateSilver538 I think they could be shifting back in her direction. -
@NateSilver538 trump ll lose badly dat people ll be shocked. He's a narcissistic egomaniac liar, n the media needs to start calling him out -
@NateSilver538@SebGorka let's wait a week for the post deplorable polls. And wikileaks likely the week after.
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