Question B: Unless they were compensated by others, many low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each year.

Responses
 

Source: IGM Economic Experts Panel
www.igmchicago.org/igm-economic-experts-panel

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Source: IGM Economic Experts Panel
www.igmchicago.org/igm-economic-experts-panel

Question A Participant Responses

Participant	University	Vote	Confidence	Comment	Bio/Vote History
Daron Acemoglu	MIT	Agree	8		Bio/Vote History
Alberto Alesina	Harvard	Disagree	6		Bio/Vote History
Joseph Altonji	Yale	Disagree	7	Real income of avg the American would rise, but social strains and inequality would also increase.	Bio/Vote History
Alan Auerbach	Berkeley	Uncertain	3		Bio/Vote History
David Autor	MIT	Agree	8		Bio/Vote History
Katherine Baicker	Harvard	Agree	4		Bio/Vote History
Abhijit Banerjee	MIT	Agree	5	The median US worker (which is how I interpret the word average) is high skill by global standards	Bio/Vote History
Marianne Bertrand	Chicago	Uncertain	4		Bio/Vote History
Markus Brunnermeier	Princeton	Uncertain	6	It depends on whether one takes a long or short-term horizon.	Bio/Vote History
Raj Chetty	Harvard	Did Not Answer			Bio/Vote History
Judith Chevalier	Yale	Did Not Answer			Bio/Vote History
Janet Currie	Princeton	Agree	8		Bio/Vote History
David Cutler	Harvard	Agree	5		Bio/Vote History
Angus Deaton	Princeton	Disagree	7	I think it matters a lot whether or not they are granted citizenship which we are not told.	Bio/Vote History
Darrell Duffie	Stanford	Agree	4	Labor is a valuable factor input. My answer presumes that many of these new workers would be employed. But I'm not confident of that.	Bio/Vote History
Aaron Edlin	Berkeley	Agree	6	This would drive down the cost of a variety of services.	Bio/Vote History
Barry Eichengreen	Berkeley	Uncertain	1	"Average US citizen?" What does this mean. Unskilled natives likely to be worse off, skilled native better off. Who's average?	Bio/Vote History
Liran Einav	Stanford	Agree	6		Bio/Vote History
Ray Fair	Yale	Agree	5		Bio/Vote History
Amy Finkelstein	MIT	Agree	5		Bio/Vote History
Pinelopi Goldberg	Yale	Uncertain	6		Bio/Vote History
Austan Goolsbee	Chicago	Did Not Answer			Bio/Vote History
Michael Greenstone	Chicago	Did Not Answer			Bio/Vote History
Robert Hall	Stanford	Uncertain	5	If only workers are admitted, we come out ahead because of tax revenue. But it's not so obvious if they bring their families and relatives.	Bio/Vote History
Oliver Hart	Harvard	Agree	8	On average citizens would be better off--by classical gains from trade . A countervailing effect : welfare payments to unemployed immigrants	Bio/Vote History
Bengt Holmström	MIT	Agree	5		Bio/Vote History
Caroline Hoxby	Stanford	Uncertain	10	I am sure that I am uncertain. A certain answer would require a knowledge of general eqm effects on which we've only a partial grasp.	Bio/Vote History
Hilary Hoynes	Berkeley	Agree	10		Bio/Vote History
Kenneth Judd	Stanford	Uncertain	8	Free trade is as good as migration for traded goods. The impact on nongraded goods is unclear, as are the burdens on social programs.	Bio/Vote History
Steven Kaplan	Chicago	Agree	6		Bio/Vote History
Anil Kashyap	Chicago	Agree	5		Bio/Vote History
Pete Klenow	Stanford	Uncertain	5	But the gains to immigrants would be large. -see background information here	Bio/Vote History