To be fair, not much polling this weekend. Trump at an all-time low in the LAT/USC tracking poll, though, which is usually friendly to him.
No recovery yet for Trump. Down to 11% chance per our polls-only forecast, his low on the year. 21% per polls-plus.http://53eig.ht/29fvWfn
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@NateSilver538 LAT/USC re-polls the same individuals, right? So is it fair to say the change reflects actual individual voters shifting? - その他の返信を表示
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@NateSilver538 So "Polls Plus" is basically, "You never know. Anything could happen between now and Nov. 8." - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538@FiveThirtyEight You'll all be surprised when Trump wins West Carolina. - その他の返信を表示
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@wormbolt@natesilver538@fivethirtyeight And Southern Virginia! And Puerto Rico! And Crimea! - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538 Uh you know you were consistently wrong during primary until the end when you were forced to change. You've lost credibility. - その他の返信を表示
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@dyanjae@NateSilver538 If you don't like Nate, there's always RCP or the Upshot. Weirdly, both concur with 538.
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@NateSilver538 these polls literally founded ISIS - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538@PpollingNumbers@FiveThirtyEight Suggest you redo your poll if you believe Hillary will win Florida. Not happening -
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@NateSilver538 << how does he recover from advocating sedition, attacking a Gold Star mother & calling Obama founder of ISIS ? - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538 oh, Nate, you keep me sane -
@NateSilver538 Still, the prediction that if this campaign were completed 100 times, 11 times Trump would win is frightening.#inners -
@NateSilver538 But what abt all those secret voters???
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