@ForecasterEnten you consistently said he could not win. Come on Harry.
Trump was leading in vast majority of primary polls by July 2015 https://twitter.com/MKTWDelamaide/status/749198449644449792 … He is losing in vast majority vs. Clinton now.
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@wesknuckle How many times do we have to go through this. I thought polls weren't telling whole story. They were. I didn't weight them enuf.
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@ForecasterEnten Polls are still the only reliable way to determine who is likely to win an election. -
@Alex__Katz@ForecasterEnten Well, there's also the complete lack of Trump campaign infrastructure and strong Clinton one. -
@ASFried@ForecasterEnten That's true, but it's a sui generis variable in modern elections because there's never been this degree of a gap. -
@Alex__Katz@ForecasterEnten Based on field experiment lit, reasonable to think HRC gains 2-3 points over her swing state polls due to orgs.
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@ForecasterEnten but mah narrative
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