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EIU Global Forecasting Service
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Global risk
July 2016
China experiences a hard landing
Currency volatility and persistent commodity prices weakness culminates in an emerging markets corpo
Donald Trump wins the US presidential election
Beset by external and internal pressures, the EU begins to fracture
"Grexit" is followed by a euro zone break-up
The rising threat of jihadi terrorism destabilises the global economy
Global growth surges in 2017 as emerging markets rally
The UK votes to leave the EU
Chinese expansionism prompts a clash of arms in the South China Sea
A collapse in investment in the oil sector prompts a future oil price shock
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