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CHANCERoyal flush vs. quad aces (i.imgur.com)

SlimJones123 が 投稿

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[–]gigamiga 380ポイント381ポイント  (62子コメント)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XunAlp2azhA

The video makes it so much better. This hand also takes place with Ray Romano at the table which makes the odds even crazier

[–]Waddupp 480ポイント481ポイント  (51子コメント)

The chances of a royal flush and quad aces in the same hand: 1 in 2,700,000,000

from the commentator in the vid

edit: shhh thank you

edit 2: FUCK THE POLICE

[–]Hexavxozy 212ポイント213ポイント  (1子コメント)

This sub is called r/nevertellmetheodds. That means we don't talk about the odds here.

[–]sub_xerox 19ポイント20ポイント  (0子コメント)

LOL I GET IT NOW 😂😂

[–]pretsl 118ポイント119ポイント  (28子コメント)

If you're going to quote, quote properly ;) He said 1 in 2.7 Billion, not 7 Billion.

[–]MuffOnReddit 109ポイント110ポイント  (24子コメント)

Guys, guys shhh. There's like a 1 in 4 chance of a mod seeing this!

[–]OneTripleZeroA Thousand to One[M] 218ポイント219ポイント  (23子コメント)

All three of you enjoy your time off.

[–]Heromedic18 29ポイント30ポイント  (19子コメント)

Did you ban them for that?

[–]starfries 34ポイント35ポイント  (4子コメント)

They don't mess around here!

[–]Jesse_no_i 14ポイント15ポイント  (1子コメント)

There's a 1 in 1 chance of them not fucking around here.

[–]FeedingPandas 25ポイント26ポイント  (0子コメント)

This is too fucking funny. I love mods 😂

[–]infinitezero8 6ポイント7ポイント  (0子コメント)

Don't tell them the odds, bro. Dems the rules.

[–]AbsolutelyHalaal 8ポイント9ポイント  (1子コメント)

Wow! What were the odds?

[–]ankensam 16ポイント17ポイント  (0子コメント)

Apparently 3 for 3.

Edit: 4 4 4

[–]ShitAltSays 7ポイント8ポイント  (2子コメント)

theres like a 1 in 1 chance that they got banned.

[–]OneTripleZeroA Thousand to One[M] 24ポイント25ポイント  (6子コメント)

I did. And at the time of this post, four people below you as well.

[–]ZombieSpartacus 11ポイント12ポイント  (0子コメント)

Honestly watching you guys ban people for this stuff gives me more joy than most of the posts do. You guys are always so deadpan about it lol

[–]Lezrec 5ポイント6ポイント  (4子コメント)

Assuming that 5% of the snarky commenters will hop on this circlejerk, and there being 372 comments. Total subscribers are 83,273, and around 40% of those will ever comment on a post. If we do (0.05 * 372) to (83273 * 0.4) = 19 to 33309. So assuming that this mass timeout wave continues we get that the odds of getting timed out is 1 to 1753.

[–]Shaojack 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Hopefully.

[–]MightySquidWarrior 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Pretty sure there's a 1 in 1 chance the mods banned them for it.

[–]aptadnauseum 8ポイント9ポイント  (2子コメント)

But... but... your flair?!?

[–]OneTripleZeroA Thousand to One[M] 20ポイント21ポイント  (1子コメント)

Eyes on your own business, soldier. Questions move down the chain and answers come up, not the other way around.

[–]bestofreddit_me 15ポイント16ポイント  (2子コメント)

Well the odds of a royal flush, quad aces and ray romano on the same hand is 1 in 7 billion...

[–]second_prize 4ポイント5ポイント  (0子コメント)

So if the entire population of Earth started playing poker right now, the person sat next to Ray Romano would hit quads and the person sat across him would hit a Royal.

[–]mrperiodniceguy 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

/r/shittymath

[–]TheDerpyBeckett 9ポイント10ポイント  (1子コメント)

Shh

[–]ChecksUsernames 9ポイント10ポイント  (0子コメント)

Mods!!!!!

[–]OneTripleZeroA Thousand to One[M] 28ポイント29ポイント  (0子コメント)

edit 2: FUCK THE POLICE

I've got you for the rest of your natural born life if you don't watch your step!

[–]Superboy309 15ポイント16ポイント  (1子コメント)

I just calculated it and the odds are actually 1:34338037056.1

edit: Lol one day ban

[–]OneTripleZeroA Thousand to One[M] 32ポイント33ポイント  (0子コメント)

ಠ_ಠ

[–]Sax45 4ポイント5ポイント  (1子コメント)

From Mabuchi's point of view, the odds of losing were actually much higher (but still small).

A deck has 52 cards. 7 cards are accounted for (5 on the table and 2 in Mabuchi's hand), leaving 45 cards.

There is exactly one combo that will beat Mabuchi: King of Diamonds and Jack of Diamonds. The odds that Phillips has this is 1/45 x 1/44, or 1:1980.

[–]kranker 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

Realistically they're not even that high! Your calculations assume Philips can have any two cards, but in reality he can only really have a much smaller range (for example 99/TT/QQ/KJ/two card flush, and the weaker hands here should be heavily discounted due to the river raise)

[–]isrly_eder 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

they did it to me as well the other day, cracked me up. mods in this sub are hilarious

[–]Lazin 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

That's some A-level modding.

[–]the_russian_narwhal_ 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

I dont really want to talk about odds here but when you add in the fact that ray was there too, the odds are so insane i couldnt tell you if i wanted to

[–]jun2san [スコア非表示]  (0子コメント)

I also feel like the chances of it being caught on camera are higher.

[–]neovulcan -1ポイント0ポイント  (0子コメント)

Can anyone confirm? /r/theydidthemath maybe? I've been at a table where quad jacks was beat by a royal flush. Insane odds no doubt, but billions?

[–]TotesMessenger -1ポイント0ポイント  (0子コメント)

I'm a bot, bleep, bloop. Someone has linked to this thread from another place on reddit:

If you follow any of the above links, please respect the rules of reddit and don't vote in the other threads. (Info / Contact)

[–]jerstud56 50ポイント51ポイント  (3子コメント)

Everybody loves Raymer.

[–]PYR0CHA0S 26ポイント27ポイント  (2子コメント)

He doesn't even get that much correct. He says "I love Raymer! Everybody watch that show!"

To give him a little bit of a break his adrenaline must have been through the roof. But then again he is wearing a wife beater in a $10,000 entry poker tournament.

[–]herptydurr 9ポイント10ポイント  (1子コメント)

He probably won one of those satellite tournaments with a smaller buy-in where the winner gets an entry into the WSOP.

[–]PYR0CHA0S 12ポイント13ポイント  (0子コメント)

Even though, a wife beater?!

They should have interviewed him afterwards and asked him if he drove his house to the event.

[–]stml 13ポイント14ポイント  (0子コメント)

The guy is actually a pretty good sport about it. He made the right call.

[–]isrly_eder 5ポイント6ポイント  (1子コメント)

"if this happened to Phil Hellmuth the table would no longer be here"

hahaha

[–]oat_milk 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

it would have been flipped into orbit

[–]Pielsticker 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

I bet that ginger smells terrible

[–]WaywardWes 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Yeah, he looks exactly like someone from Gladstone, OR.