Two known NSA assets infiltrated in the Bitcoin community - Gavin Andresen and Mike Hearn - have joined forces to push a hastily concocted privacy nightmare/scamcoin, which they call Bitcoin-XT. It is currently completely irrelevant, owing to an absolute lack of financial, economical, technical or social support. This is a bet that it will stay irrelevant throughout the next twelve months. Therefore :
If, at any and all times prior to August 1st, 2016, Bitcoin-XT continues to have no full nodes on the network (half dollar AWS instances & similar don't count) ; or if no two consecutive blocks with a version number equal to 536870919 are mined before August 1st, 2016 ; or if less than 750 blocks with a version number equal to 536870919 are mined before August 1st, 2016 ; or if no contiguous set of one thousand blocks mined prior to August 1st, 2016 contains at least 3/4 blocks with a version number equal to 536870919 ; or if no block with a total size over 1000000 bytes is mined prior to August 1st, 2016 ; or if such a block is mined yet it does not have a version number equal to equal to 536870919 ; or, if after such a block is mined, the difficulty on the Bitcoin-XT alt-chain at any point falls under half the difficulty on the Bitcoin network ; or, if after such a block is mined, the XT-scamcoins trade for more than two to the Bitcoin then this bet resolves as Yes.
Otherwise this bet resolves as No.