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[–]warsie[🍰] 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

I'm simplifying this a bit, but the risk wasn't the Soviets immediately invading Germany in 1941, but that the Soviet Union would get stronger in 1942 and 43, and be able to invade Germany then. Basically the window of opportunity where Germany and the rest of the European Axis could knock out the USSR was weakening so it was a 'do or die' moment (compare how Kaiserreich Germany had the same mentality towards knocking out Imperial Russia before 1918 or so as the reforms would make Russia too strong for Germany to knock out