BERLIN – The Islamic State’s horrific attacks in Paris provide a stark reminder that Western powers cannot contain – let alone insulate themselves from – the unintended consequences of their interventions in the Middle East. The unraveling of Syria, Iraq, and Libya, together with the civil war that is tearing Yemen apart, have created vast killing fields, generated waves of refugees, and spawned Islamist militants who will remain a threat to international security for years to come. And the West has had more than a little to do with it.
Obviously, Western intervention in the Middle East is not a new phenomenon. With the exceptions of Iran, Egypt, and Turkey, every major power in the Middle East is a modern construct created largely by the British and the French. The United States-led interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq since 2001 represent only the most recent effort by Western powers to shape the region’s geopolitics.
But these powers have always preferred intervention by proxy, and it is this strategy – training, funding, and arming jihadists who are deemed “moderate” to fight against the “radicals” – that is backfiring today. Despite repeated proof to the contrary, Western powers have remained wedded to an approach that endangers their own internal security.
It should be obvious that those waging violent jihad can never be moderate. Yet, even after acknowledging that a majority of the Free Syrian Army’s CIA-trained members have defected to the Islamic State, the US recently pledged nearly $100 million in fresh aid for Syrian rebels.
France, too, has distributed aid to Syrian rebels, and it recently began launching airstrikes against the Islamic State. And that is precisely why France was targeted. According to witnesses, the attackers at Paris’s Bataclan concert hall – where most of the night’s victims were killed – declared that their actions were President François Hollande’s fault. “He didn’t have to intervene in Syria,” they shouted.
To be sure, France has a tradition of independent-minded and pragmatic foreign policy, reflected in its opposition to the 2003 US-led invasion and occupation of Iraq. But after Nicolas Sarkozy became President in 2007, France aligned its policies more firmly with the US and NATO, and participated actively in toppling Libyan leader Muammar el-Qaddafi in 2011. And after Hollande succeeded Sarkozy in 2012, France emerged as one of the world’s most interventionist countries, undertaking military operations in the Central African Republic, the Ivory Coast, Mali, the Sahel, and Somalia before launching its airstrikes in Syria.
Such interventions neglect the lessons of history. Simply put, nearly every Western intervention this century has had unforeseen consequences, which have spilled over borders and ultimately prompted another intervention.
It was no different in the late twentieth century. In the 1980s, under President Ronald Reagan, the US (with funding from Saudi Arabia) trained thousands of Islamic extremists to fight against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan. The result was Al Qaeda, whose actions ultimately prompted President George W. Bush’s invasion of Afghanistan and provided a pretext for invading Iraq. As then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton admitted in 2010, “We trained them, we equipped them, we funded them, including somebody named Osama bin Laden….And it didn’t work out so well for us.”
And yet, disregarding this lesson, Western powers intervened in Libya to topple Qaddafi, effectively creating a jihadist citadel at Europe’s southern doorstep, while opening the way for arms and militants to flow to other countries. It was this fallout that spurred the French counter-terrorist interventions in Mali and the Sahel.
Having barely stopped to catch their breath, the US, France, and Britain – with the support of Wahhabi states like Saudi Arabia and Qatar – then moved to bring down Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, fueling a civil war that enabled the Islamic State to seize territory and flourish. With the group rapidly gaining control over vast areas extending into Iraq, the US – along with Bahrain, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates – began launching airstrikes inside Syria last year. France joined the effort more recently, as has Russia.
Though Russia is pursuing its military campaign independently of the Western powers (reflecting its support for Assad), it, too, has apparently become a target, with US and European officials increasingly convinced that the Islamic State was behind October’s crash of a Russian airliner in the Sinai Peninsula. That incident, together with the Paris attacks, may spur even greater outside military involvement in Syria and Iraq, thereby accelerating the destructive cycle of intervention. Already, the danger that emotion, not reason, will guide policy is apparent in France, the US, and elsewhere.
What is needed most is a more measured approach that reflects the lessons of recent mistakes. For starters, Western leaders should avoid playing into the terrorists’ hands, as Hollande is doing by calling the Paris attacks “an act of war” and implementing unprecedented measures at home. Instead, they should heed Margaret Thatcher’s advice and starve terrorists of “the oxygen of publicity on which they depend.”
More important, they should recognize that the war on terror cannot credibly be fought with unsavory allies, such as Islamist fighters or fundamentalist-financing sheikhdoms. The risk of adverse unintended consequences – whether terrorist blowback, as in Paris, or military spillovers, as in Syria – is unjustifiably high.
It is not too late for Western powers to consider the lessons of past mistakes and recalibrate their counterterrorism policies accordingly. Unfortunately, this appears to be the least likely response to the Islamic State’s recent attacks.
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Comment Commented Cary Fraser
Brahma Chellaney has provided a timely reminder that Western interventions in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf have exacerbated the problems of the region. It is also important to recognize that the West has neither the ideological appeal nor the political legitimacy to attempt to shape the future of the region - the Israeli-Palestinian conflict serves as a reminder of that reality. Read more
Comment Commented Ken Presting
Prof. Chellaney has his finger on the problem, but I don't think he has quite named it. I will try.
Terrorism is a threat to public safety, but it's not a threat to national security. If I understand Chellaney, he is advising the first world to stop responding to international terror using the methods of the "great game" of geopolitics: proxy wars, strategic but unsavory puppets, and clandestine support for insurgency. I'm convinced he is entirely right about that.
Still, I must say there is a role for intervention which is clearly and intently focused on public safety in the third world, And, I would say, Mr. Ban Ki Moon has gone on the record taking a similar position.
So, I agree completely with Chellaney that as long as the West can be credibly accused of compromising public safety in other nations, those populations (or their diaspora) will continue to find motivation to repay that injury to the West. But I disagree that the West should revert to disengagement. Rather, we should be taking more seriously the "responsibility to protect" which is accepted internationally. None of us will be safe in our homes until all of us are.
If there were an actual war going on, nobody would be raising moral objections to collateral damage. It is all too obvious. to all of us, that war is hell. The very concept of terrorism applies only in a context of peacetime. Therefore, the Western response must be peacekeeping, and the extension of public safety services to the chaotic spaces still suffering around the world. Read more
Comment Commented j. von Hettlingen
Brahma Chellaney is not entirely wrong that the West is partly to blame for the "anti-Western terror" that Islamists spread. Spewing anti-American propaganda is nothing new. When the Congress declared war on Spain in 1898, Austria and Germany sided with Spain's position over Cuba. The German Kaiser Wilhelm took the lead in an effort to organise an anti-American coalition. Yet since European forces fought alongside their American allies in Iraq and in Afghanistan, the West became a hate figure for the Islamists.
It's true that "with the exceptions of Iran, Egypt, and Turkey, every major power in the Middle East is a modern construct created largely by the British and the French." This complicates geopolitics in the region, because the three countries have different agendas and harbour hegemonic ambitions. Egypt and Turkey both belong to the Sunni bloc, and they are being bribed by their rich Arab allies in the sectarian conflict against Iran.
Before 1935 Iran was known as Persia, which was one of the greatest empires of the ancient world. Saudi Arabia is envious of Iran's distinct cultural, linguistic identity within the Muslim world and sees the Shia interpretation of Islam as a thorn in the Sunnis' side. Iran's oil reserves rank the fifth largest in the world. It hopes to benefit from the nuclear deal, when sanctions are lifted.
Turkey was once the centre of the Ottoman Empire. Straddling the continents of Europe and Asia, it wants to make itself an indispensable player in the region. Its economy is fuelled by trade, agriculture, tourism, foreign investment and manufacturing. But the civil war in Syria has taken a toll on growth.
Long Known for its pyramids and ancient civilisation, Egypt is the largest Arab country and has played a central role in Middle Eastern politics in modern times. It relies heavily on tourism, agriculture and cash remittances from Egyptians working abroad. Rapid population growth and the limited amount of arable land are straining the country's resources and economy, which has been crippled by political instability and paralysis to address problems.
Resentments in the Arab world towards the West are ancient. Britain had promised the Arabs in the 1910s that if they rebelled against the Ottomans, they would gain independence after the fall of that empire, which did not materialise after World War One. Colonial powers continued to rule the region in the 1920s, 30s and 40s. The indigenous in Egypt, Syria and Iraq, instead of building liberal constitutional governance systems, they moved to assertive nationalism whose main objective was to get rid of the colonialists and the ruling systems that came along. This explained the number of militarist regimes that had come to dominate many Arab countries from the 1950s until the 2011 Arab uprisings.
The civil war in Syria and turmoil in Iraq gave rise to Salafism, which is based on an austere interpretation of Islam, embraced by Saudis, who are proud of having the custody of the Two Holy Mosques. They also use their oil wealth to advance their religious cause, by setting up madrassas, where impoverished boys and young men in Afghanistan, Pakistan etc. get radicalised.
Islamists like ISIS challenge the geopolitical order established by the British diplomat, Mark Sykes and his French counterpart, Francois Georges-Picot. They seek to erase the borders drawn by European powers, by creating their own caliphate. Britain and the US had learned their mistakes in Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan. It explains why they have been reluctant to intervene in Syria. But the Islamists justify their attacks on the West by quoting old grievances. Read more
Comment Commented jagjeet sinha
Berating The West for the incessant failures to confront its predicament in this geography - must not suggest admiration for alternatives.
Alternatives that would have allowed the merciless massacres that Unelected Leaderships in Sanctuaries unaccountable are famous for.
Alternatives that have fostered the imposition of Sectarianism worldwide in the garb of holy pursuits in seemingly unholy geographies.
Alternatives that have perennially deprived billions of growth and wealth in the garb of First Families led Democracies.
But for America and the alliances that it leads - the World would be in the Stone Ages.
Perfection of solutions - must not admonish those that tried.
Emboldened anarchists are never accountable.
Alternatives to the United Nations - perhaps Yes.
United Religions Organization - U.R.O.
Homeopathy finds solutions from the source of the problem - RELIGIOUS SECTARIANISM. Read more
Comment Commented Akbar Montaser
An excellent article by a man who has the vision to solve problem, not worsen them similar to the types of Mr. Richard N. Haass. Read more
Comment Commented M M
It’s an orgy going on over there and everyone wants to get a share of it… Read more
Comment Commented Adrian Lucas
Since the second world war, successive US governments intervened many times in Latin America (Guatemala, Chile, El Salvador, Columbia, to name just a few), brutally and illegally, and (sadly) with full impunity. And the countries of Latin America are no less 'constructs' of European imperialism than the countries of the Middle East. But never did the oppressed peoples of Latin America react to US brutality by waging terror wars against the ordinary citizens of the US. In other words, it is not sufficient that a Nation-State is a construct of imperialism, and that a Nation-State has suffered brutal US interventionism; there is another factor at work in the Middle East that is not at work in Latin America. What liberation theology was to Latin America, perhaps Muslim Brotherhood was to the Middle East? Did not Al-Qaeda emerge from MB? And did not Isis emerge from Al-Qaeda?
The bigger question is why, across the world (excepting China?), societies have spawned so many religiously-motivated militant movements that are nothing but a dumbing-down of the very religions that they purport to be their founding ontology? Read more
Comment Commented Daniel Moylan
Really? The West is responsible for Syria's civil war? How, I wonder? I rather thought Assad had a hand in that. Read more
Comment Commented Cary Fraser
"In the Middle East, there is always plenty of blame to go around, and those who blame the US for renewing sectarianism in the region fail to recognize its antecedents and its cyclical nature. Still, the US did play a major role in the Syrian drama. In July 2011, the US and France sent their ambassadors to Hama, the site of so much bloodshed and enmity toward Syria’s government, in order to urge the “opposition” there – that is, a then-peaceful Muslim Brotherhood – to unite against the regime.
Following that visit – the culmination of an effort to bring about regime change in Syria – any prospect of dialogue or negotiation with Assad (whose family, for better or worse, had controlled Syria for decades) was destroyed. Neither ambassador ever had a consequential meeting in Damascus again.
American and French leaders had mistaken the war clouds that gathered in Syria after the Arab Spring as early signs that, at long last, the country was ready for democracy. Rallying the opposition and overthrowing the government, it was thought, would be enough to transform the country’s entire system of – and, indeed, approach to – governance." Read more at https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/who-caused-the-refugee-crisis-by-christopher-r-hill-2015-09#zXyUapOiU1XYhCCM.99 Read more
Comment Commented Petey Bee
Stating th obvious in a school zone. License and registration! Please step out of the vehicle, sir . . . Read more
Comment Commented Michael Public
I don't think these points are that obvious. In fact, quite the opposite, I think if the decision makers paid heed to these points they would make more progress - and, lets be frank here, The War on Terror 1.o was a flop only rivaled by Vietnam, so progress is exactly what is required. Read more
Comment Commented Petey Bee
(IOW, well said) Read more
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