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[–]wumbotarianmodeled as if Noah Smith was a can opener 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

GG Scott Sumner

So this was released.

Not sure what to think about it. I'd like to see how Breakeven Inflation fares (something I can do later in life in grad school!).

The only thing I can say is "1-year forecasts are more-or-less crap shoots".

Breakeven inflation picked up the actual deflation we had during the recession. SPF didn't.

FWIW, SPF didn't do jack all in my regressions for my senior thesis. BE Inf sorta did. One of the Fed branches has a cool data set that does even better. However they finagle expected inflation might be useful for predicting inflation.

[–]ethyn408 0ポイント1ポイント  (1子コメント)

Wow, I've never seen one of these threads with less than ten comments.

[–]wumbotarianmodeled as if Noah Smith was a can opener 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Welcome to /r/badeconomics at night.

[–]fmn13Canadian Labor Reserves 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

We all seem to agree NYT!Krugman is worse and way more cooky and prone to /be than 90's!Krugman but are there specific examples of him saying very controversial/wrong things?