First off apologies to Canada, I didn't include you simply because I would have had to convert population percentages as opposed to using the simple state data. Secondly this is only an estimate as I do not have access to precise ping change data.

Ping change was estimated using this map credit to: /u/Zephaerus

Percentage of US Population by State is from the US Census by way of this Wikipedia Page. For the division of Texas, I used city population. And California North vs South.

I will do a best case first based on geographical location and being a league of legends player being statistically independent, and then a worst case based on West Coast individuals being twice as likely to play league of legends.

States Grouped By Ping Change

Percentages are of US population

Large ping increase ~50ms

• AK .23%

• HI .45%

• N CA ~ 39% CA= 12.17%*.39 = 4.75%

• OR 1.25%

• WA 2.21%

Large Increase % Pop = 8.89

Moderate Ping Increase 25-40ms

averaged to 32.5 for calculations

• ID .51%

• S CA ~ 61% CA = 12.17%*.61 = 7.42%

Moderate Increase % Pop = 7.93

Minor Ping Increase 5-15ms

avg for math 10ms

• AZ 2.11%

• MT .32%

• NV .89% majority of population surrounding Las Vegas

• UT .92%

Minor Increase % Pop = 4.24

Negligible Change

• WY .18%

• CO 1.68%

• NM .65%

• TX El Paso 830,735 approx 3.1% of TX TX= 8.45%*.031= .26%

Negligible Change % Pop = 2.77

Minor Decrease 5-15ms

avg for math = 10

• ND .23%

• SD .27%

• OK 1.22% too lazy to figure density/ping division so Im just putting it here (DEAL WITH IT)

• TX section including (Corpus Christi, Laredo, Midland, Odessa, Lubbock, and Amarillo) = 5.6% TX = 8.45%*.056 = .47%

Minor Ping Decrease % Pop = 2.19

Moderate Ping Decrease 25-40ms

avg for math 32.5

• IA .97%

• KS .91% Population heavily weighted to the eastern half of state

• LA 1.46%

• MN 1.71%

• NE .59% Population heavily weighted to the eastern border

• TX Rest of, =91.3% TX= 8.45%*.913 = 7.71%

Moderate Decrease % Pop = 13.35

Major Decrease 50ms

• AL 1.52%

• AR .93%

• CT 1.13%

• DE .29%

• FL 6.24%

• GA 3.17%

• IL 4.04 %

• IN 2.07%

• KY 1.38%

• MA 2.12%

• MD 1.87%

• ME .42%

• MI 3.11%

• MO 1.90%

• MS .94%

• NC 3.12%

• NH .42%

• NJ 2.80%

• NY 6.19%

• OH 3.64%

• PA 4.01%

• RI .33%

• SC 1.52%

• TN 2.05%

• VA 2.61%

• VT .20%

• WI 1.81%

• WV .58%

Major Ping Decrease % Pop = 60.41

Best Case Ping Change Overview

• Increased Ping % Pop = 20.55

• Negligible Change % Pop = 2.77

• Reduced Ping % Pop= 75.95

Calculating Avg. Ping Change

Due to rounding and not including DC / minor territories, total% does not necessarily equal 100

NORMALIZATION FACTOR TIME

75.95+2.77+20.55=99.27

ALGEBRA TIME!!!!!

(.0889*50)+(.0793*32.5)+(.0424*10)+(.0277*0)+(.0219*-10)+(.1335*-32.5)+(.6041*-50)=(.9927)*AVG

SIMPLIFY

(.0889*50)+(.0793*32.5)+(.0424*10)-(.0219*10)-(.1335*32.5)-(.6041*50)=(.9927)*AVG

MORE SIMPLIFY/CALCULATOR

-27.317=(.9927)*AVG

Best Case AVG PING Change = -27.517

All of the above is assuming that geographical location and probability of being a league of legends player are statistically independent. However since playing league with high ping is way less fun, let's do some math based on West Coast individuals being twice as likely to play league of legends to determine a worst case.

Stats for Worst Case

2*(20.55)+2.77+75.95= 119.82

• Increased Ping % Pop = 2(20.55)/119.82= 34.30

• Negligible Change % Pop = 2.77/119.82 = 2.31

• Reduced Ping % Pop= 75.95/119.82 = 63.38

Checking my math 34.3+2.31+63.38= 99.99

AVG PING CHANGE WORST CASE

(2*(.0889*50)+(.0793*32.5)+(.0424*10))+(.0277*0)+(.0219*-10)+(.1335*-32.5)+(.6041*-50)=(119.82)*AVG

-19.87=(119.27)*AVG

Worst Case AVG Ping Change = -16.58

TLDR: Server move benefits 65-75% of NA to the detriment of 20-35%, Avg ping change will be a drop of between 17 and 28ms , and as a Chicagoan I am ready for that sweet sweet 10 ping.

Note: This a repost from /u/LaminateCactus also me since apparently my account from which I have made a grand total of 2 comments is shadowbanned.

Edit: Since a few people seem to be misunderstanding the purpose of this post, it is not to show what your specific new ping will be. To find that you should ping: 104.160.131.1 or 104.160.131.3 .

This post is to show the rationale for moving the servers since there will be a major net ping drop across all of NA. i.e. across all 1.7 million accounts the collective ping will drop between 7.5 and 11 hours depending on whether the best or worst case is used.

Edit 2: Please remember that a.) this is an estimate and b.) when looking at the ping map that it is not actual ping but Δ ping with green being decrease and red being increase.

Edit 3: I have seen multiple people commenting that population does not equal player base and that is true. However as I am not looking at concrete values but rather ratios (in the form of percentages) the comparison can still be made because in an ideal system the odds that individual is a league of legends player should be fairly static across the US which gives me my best case. However since geographic location affects the game in the form of current ping which increases frustration, I ran the numbers a second time with the ratio of players to non-players in regions with current low to moderate ping being doubled. This is much greater than what I would expect the ratio change to be but sets for an easy worst case

Edit 4: THANK YOU /u/whattanerd92, It's my first time getting gilded and I would like to take this moment to thank the academy, my mom and most importantly my ADHD for not letting me let this go once I figured out I could estimate net ping change /s but seriously thank you from one nerdy 23 year old to another. Unless we haven't passed your birthday yet in which case i guess we only share the nerdiness.

I'm off to play league if you want to join me IGN is LaminateCactus aka my username minus the 2 since my orignal Lol reddit account was banned for a marginally insensitive joke. Not that I'm saltier than the left coast about that, No Siree.

So if you need some help interpreting this data don't just comment, either pm me as well or now that I have Gold (though sadly not in League) just put my username in the comment so I can easily find it when I check back. .

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HOW TO PING THE NEW SERVERS

Open a run box(PC) or terminal window(Mac) and enter:

ping 104.160.131.1

or

ping 104.160.131.3