SRSDiscussion 内の Alexiron によるリンク Grexit is comming, what do you think?

[–]BonSequitur [スコア非表示]  (0子コメント)

I think the Eurozone has a responsibility towards Greece because of the shared currency; the EU surely has a responsibility towards its members. It's disingenuous to take that as a general statement about wealthier and poorer states. Germany and France benefited for years from a Greek market for their exports, but of course all that is forgotten now.

The fact that the Euro central states have essentially imposed a monetary policy of misery and pain on the euro periphery, and used monetary policy as leverage to impose domestic policy on Greece, is essentially a sort of moral debt - Germany created the situation in Greece by forcing the imposition of brutal austerity.

Furthermore, the agreement that the Troika was demanding is utter nonsense. It wouldn't have led to the repayment of debts; it's the same bullshit that's been imposed for five years now, which has not led to the repayment of debts. The Greeks kept eating more and more brutal internal devaluation, which just choked their economy so that the Greek state, even as it raised taxes and cut spending, could never get enough revenue to meet its obligations. Greece has dutifully acquiesced to a savage programme of cost-cutting, doing everything creditors demanded, and they weren't repaid anyway because creditors' demands were stupid and counterproductive. So even from a standpoint of purely doing what is best for creditors, the Troika isn't acting rationally.

The ECB has consistently pursued a monetary policy that was incredibly inflation-shy for years, too, essentially using Germany as its benchmark. This refusal to devalue the Euro has prevented peripheral Euro area countries from having an export-led recovery.

Essentially, the Eurozone (which was supposed to be part of a broader social and political project to ensure long-term peace and growth in Europe) turned out to be an instrument of Franco-German economic imperialism. The human cost of internal devaluation in peripheral Euro states - Greece, Portugal, Latvia, Ireland - is an atrocity in itself; an entire generation of people that has experienced and will continue to experience chronic joblessness, because European elites have latched on to bogus economic theory and acted without a shred of decency.

And Germans want to wash their hands of it, blame those dirty southerners with their profligate ways (ignoring that nobody has been more austere than the Greek government), and act as though they have no responsibility. If that's the case, then we should stop the charade and start calling the neuereichsmark what it is.

It's profoundly disingenuous to say debt relief for Greece would be "a charity programme" or that central Euro states have no responsibility. The Eurozone creates that responsibility. The ECB has a responsibility to set monetary policy at a point where it benefits all member-states, not just Germany, and it has largely failed to do so. The Euro states have a responsibility to other member states in the shared currency area; if Euro states want to dictate domestic Greek policy and sabotage elected Greek governments, they don't get to claim no responsibility for what happens.

lrcast 内の bearrosaurus によるリンク First X is better than the Third Y

[–]BonSequitur 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

In Constructed, usually you see three-ofs or two-ofs used to fine-tune a curve. If you determine that you need ten three-drops, you play four of your best one, four of the next best one, and then two of the third best one.

You also see them in control decks. One-ofs, particularly, show up when you have access to tutoring or just when you have a very long game deck. If you expect to see all of your cards over the course of a game, having a singleton answer or threat gets a lot better.

A normal Limited deck is not as focused as a Constructed deck; usually, we build decks that can play the aggressive or controlling side of a matchup. With 40 cards decks, we also see many more of our cards in a typical game. It's not unusual to end a game of Limited with 20 or less cards left in the library.

A three-of in Limited shows up roughly as often as a four-of in Constructed, and there are definitely effects that you don't want to see too many of in a game, because additional ones get a lot worse.

So don't look at this in terms of sacrificing consistency for well-roundedness - you're trying to increase consistency by making your deck well-rounded. Over the course of a game, you want to draw (say) six lands, six creatures, and two removal spells; so you're trying to get the numbers right to make that as consistent as possible.

Slaughtermaster and Sunspear Shikari are so close that trying to not draft the "loses to Shrivel" deck might be invaluable, but I think this is a corner case. But the thinking here is, against most matchups, drawing two slaughtermasters is almost the same as drawing a slaughtermaster and a shikari; but against the Plagued Rusalka deck, the latter is clearly much better.

Having that diversity of cards also gives you more options to sideboard - if your opponent is playing cards that punish 1-toughness creatures and you have 6 of them in your deck, you probably just have to live with their Plagued Rusalka or Electrolize being awesome. If you only have 2, you can potentially swap them for different creatures.

SRSDiscussion 内の Alexiron によるリンク Grexit is comming, what do you think?

[–]BonSequitur -4ポイント-3ポイント  (0子コメント)

A reasonable person, going into the last few weeks of negotiations, would have assumed that eventually things would have landed on Greece agreeing to a modest primary surplus while the Troika agreed to some debt relief, and everyone can move on with their lives. This is what you would expect if actors were rational and acting according to their stated mandates: It would be a decent outcome for Greece and maximise repayment of creditors' claims. I don't think the fact that Syriza didn't want to immediately torpedo the negotiation process, or that they didn't want to put together a rushed last-minute referendum, is a sign of malice or incompetence.

Part of the point here is that Lagarde et al are not furthering their mandate by imposing austerity, and they should know this already - more austerity will not lead to adequate repayment of debts. Greece has been failing to meet its debt obligations for years in spite of brutal austerity; why would anyone think this is going to magically change?

I don't think it would be fair to expect Tsipras to have assumed the sheer level of irrationality and brutality that the Troika has demonstrated in these negotiations.

SRSDiscussion 内の Alexiron によるリンク Grexit is comming, what do you think?

[–]BonSequitur 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Syrzia knew what they were and weren't going to get weeks ago. They should have scheduled the referendum for last tuesday before the deadline, not next tuesday after the deadline. They've gone all in on a bluff that has been called (to use poker parlance)

What Syriza is being offered is more of the same, and it's basically absurd. The Greek state could dismantle itself today and become nothing more than a tax collecting engine that sends all proceeds to the Troika, and it couldn't meet those demands in the medium term. So why would Syriza commit political suicide to go along with the economic suicide of continued austerity?

As I see it, there are four possibilities here:

  1. Lagarde et al are economically illiterate and actually believe, against all evidence and economic theory, that imposing ever more severe austerity and domestic policy impositions on Greece will cause Greece to resume growth and actually be able to run those enormous surpluses.
  2. Lagarde et al were betting on an outcome where Greece's elite acquiesces to austerity right to the bone, until the full pound of flesh has to be extracted by the Greek state privatising state assets and expropriating private assets to sell off to pay creditors.
  3. Lagarde et al want Grexit to happen. I cannot imagine why.
  4. Lagarde et all fully realise the stupidity of what they are doing, but they are too cowed by the racist ignorance of French/German voters to care.

I don't know how Syrizia is supposed to negotiate with what is for all intents and purposes either malicious actors that don't want an agreement to happen, malicious actors that will only accept an agreement that furthers their ulterior motives, or a bunch of petulant children living in a fantasy world.

Syriza is doing the best they can do: Seeking political support for an orderly exit from the Euro. Right now, the loan sharks of Europe have made it quite clear that Greece is getting kneecapped no matter what; so skipping town seems much better than trying to "negotiate" with thieves. Tsipras surely knows this.

Cooking 内の GF125 によるリンク Is a knife class worth the money? If so, do I need the basic class before the advanced?

[–]BonSequitur 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

How much is $100 and four hours of your time worth to you?

I know well enough how to brunoise something, but when cooking at home, I'm mostly dealing with onions and I hardly even bother - julienne is Good Enough for the vast majority of applications. I have enough knife skills to get by (= ensure even cooking, not take forever dicing things, and not lop my fingers off) and I think the gains beyond that point are fairly marginal, so unless your goal is to look cool or work in food service, I don't really think it's worth it to invest in classes.

lrcast 内の Malarazz によるリンク Magic Origins Spoilers - Limited Review for June 23

[–]BonSequitur 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

I think writing a set review is, at this point, largely premature (especially when it comes to things like common vanillas that can range from unplayable to premium depending on the format).

But I think people are looking at Day's Undoing wrong, with regards to Limited. It seems best in a controlling deck with a lot of cards that do a lot (Bombs, premium removal, and especially cards that affect the board while generating card advantage). The idea being not that you dump your hand then refill with a Timetwister, but that you are taking the game to parity, then you cast as many spells as you can and finish with Day's Undoing, on the assumption that your new 7 will be better than the opponent's 7 in the late game. In that way, to me it looks like a replacement level card in those decks.

lrcast 内の HoarseHorseofCourse によるリンク Breaking Boundaries for Women Gaming

[–]BonSequitur 5ポイント6ポイント  (0子コメント)

Someone complaining about harassment is a "pity party"?

lrcast 内の HoarseHorseofCourse によるリンク Breaking Boundaries for Women Gaming

[–]BonSequitur 5ポイント6ポイント  (0子コメント)

People have a right to be angry about bullshit or express anger. Telling victims of harassment that they have to be more positive and provide solutions is not acceptable. If they are positive and constructive, they are going above and beyond, and expecting people to do that is just invalidating someone's valid reaction to what is happening to them.

SRSGaming 内の The_Last_Minority によるリンク Fallout Release Date Announced: November 10, 2015. (Also, you can totally play as a lady)

[–]BonSequitur 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

Basically anything you might say about them or their opinions is going to be coloured by the fact that everything they say gets rabidly attacked by thousands of assholes with an ulterior motive. So why bother, really?

The environment is not one conducive to having a productive conversation about anything Anita thinks or says. Saying anything negative is adding to the chorus of wankers. And saying anything positive is deflated by the fact that you couldn't say something negative.

We exist in a context where productive, meaningful statements about Anita Sarkeesian's ideas or words cannot be made in a public space, because the sheer volume of malicious noise makes it impossible for communication to take place with trust.

SRSGaming 内の The_Last_Minority によるリンク Fallout Release Date Announced: November 10, 2015. (Also, you can totally play as a lady)

[–]BonSequitur 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

This is why I don't follow her on Twitter - when someone is the nonstop target of a violent hate mob, it is literally impossible to have an opinion on them or anything they say. There's no engagement that can happen there.

I do follow Zoe, but she mostly tweets pictures of her cat and dad jokes so it's ok

SRSDiscussion 内の OpieKid によるリンク Has anyone noticed that Reddit's actually started to get better from the FPH rage?

[–]BonSequitur 9ポイント10ポイント  (0子コメント)

Honestly, this is really just the toddler tiring themself out after a temper tantrum. Give it a while and there'll be another one.

lrcast 内の rightseid によるリンク 3-0 Elementals Deck

[–]BonSequitur 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

Vampire Outcasts is a card I would only first pick out of a pack with an unplayable rare, two other unplayable uncommons, and all weak commons. There's a lot of cards I would pick ahead of it, like Kozilek's Predator or even just Aquastrand Spider.

ShitRedditSays 内の CuriousBJJ によるリンク Hi, from a non-SRS person

[–]BonSequitur 65ポイント66ポイント  (0子コメント)

SRSD is pretty fun but often it's socialists and social liberals shouting at each other. So like the left everywhere.

Why you letting the anarchists off the hook

lrcast 内の fremeer によるリンク Magic Origins Spoilers - Limited Review | MTGGoldfish

[–]BonSequitur 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

It's pretty much pointless to review cards for Limited when there is so little information. Runeclaw Bears, the easiest card to evaluate in the game, is a D+ in some formats and a C+ in others. When you know pretty much nothing about the set, why start assigning ratings to cards in a vacuum?

lrcast 内の the_oker_in_proker によるリンク New spoilers. What does it mean for magic origins limited?

[–]BonSequitur 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

Fiery Conclusion is really contextual. It should be on the right side of playable in most formats, but not spectacular. The important thing to realise is that not all cards are created equal. You're probably sacrificing an early creature that you already got value from (by attacking with it) and which is now "bricked" on the board, to take out your opponent's best creature. Sometimes this will be a neutral virtual card advantage play; if your opponent has one big blocker holding off two small attackers, sacrificing one to kill the blocker costs 2 cards to deal with one of theirs, but it also nets you a virtual card in the form of a creature that is once again relevant.

Obviously, if there are ways to sacrifice a creature without spending a full card, then Fiery Conclusion goes up in value. That could mean tokens, or creatures that come back from the graveyard, or creatures that replace themselves anyway, such as Palace Familiar.

So the card could be a D in some formats or a B in other formats. It depends on how many ways there are to abuse it. It also depends on how it matches up against other creatures in the format (If a lot of the curve-topping common and uncommon creatures you want to kill have six toughness, it goes way down) and on how tempo-oriented the format is. Fiery Conclusion gets better for the same reasons Unsummon gets better: If throwing away cards to get attacks in is good in the format, it should be good. For example, sacrificing a small creature to kill a blocker then getting in with a 2/3 Jhessian Thief is card advantage neutral and gains board advantage; if there are a lot of ways of "pressing the advantage" like that, cards like Unsummon and Fiery Conclusion get better.

Cooking 内の bicureyooz によるリンク When baking salmon, what's the white residue that you see? Is it fat?

[–]BonSequitur 4ポイント5ポイント  (0子コメント)

The white material that comes off various types of poultry and fish during cooking is, like most random white fluids, a frothy mixture of fat, proteins, and mostly water. Much like other random white fluids, it's about as safe to eat as the meat you got it from.

lrcast 内の the_oker_in_proker によるリンク New spoilers. What does it mean for magic origins limited?

[–]BonSequitur 2ポイント3ポイント  (0子コメント)

Menace is definitely not as good as flying, so of course they're pricing it more aggressively because they can. But they don't have to, see how rummaging still hasn't been priced aggressively enough to make it particularly good.

To be fair, usually all colours have access to answers to fliers (Red gets removal which usually matches up well against creatures that are small for their CMC, which fliers at low rarities are, and Green gets Reach and Plummet effects)

SRSGaming 内の so_srs によるリンク Penny Arcade's Tycho blames "the media" for Hatred existing

[–]BonSequitur 3ポイント4ポイント  (0子コメント)

Someone get this man to a&e for an emergency oral podotomy

lrcast 内の the_oker_in_proker によるリンク New spoilers. What does it mean for magic origins limited?

[–]BonSequitur 4ポイント5ポイント  (0子コメント)

You would never in a million years get a 3/2 flier for 2C at common with no downside, so they're definitely pricing Menace much more aggressively than flying.

The premiere Menace guy was always the newly French vanilla Stormblood Berserker, and that card was very strong. So a 3/2 Menace creature for 2R is definitely a very real card, and I'd be surprised if it wasn't one of the top red common creatures.