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Paul Krugman Schools George Will On The Great Depression

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The Huffington Post   |   November 17, 2008 10:14 AM


On ABC's This Week, conservative pundit George Will took up the case against Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, arguing that it sent confusing signals to capitalists (who apparently might otherwise have pursued lucrative deals in the 1930s market place) and turned a depression into the Great Depression.

Thankfully, Nobel laureate Paul Krugman was around to remind Will of some history -- that the economy improved after the New Deal, and that it was FDR's attempt to balance the budget in 1937 (a move favored now by many conservatives) that then cut into that progress.

Watch:

On ABC's This Week, conservative pundit George Will took up the case against Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, arguing that it sent confusing signals to capitalists (who apparently might otherwise have p...
On ABC's This Week, conservative pundit George Will took up the case against Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, arguing that it sent confusing signals to capitalists (who apparently might otherwise have p...
 
 

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- bob_cratchit See Profile I'm a Fan of bob_cratchit permalink

Yeah... Krugtards.
since 'Dr.' Paultards is already taken

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:26 PM on 11/20/2008
- bob_cratchit See Profile I'm a Fan of bob_cratchit permalink

Paul ----Rocks!

He has some great posts lately..

read

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/18/clinton-business-issues/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:12 PM on 11/20/2008
- plebeianswillrevolt See Profile I'm a Fan of plebeianswillrevolt permalink

Paul puts Bryl Cream Man in his place.....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:13 PM on 11/20/2008
- research See Profile I'm a Fan of research permalink

Spending is the only way out of the Depression, then and now.

Choose:

War

or

Public works, Energy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:10 PM on 11/20/2008
- FarOutFish See Profile I'm a Fan of FarOutFish permalink

Anybody note Krugman said FDR"s mistake was raising taxes and trying to balance the budget in 1937 that made things worse? That"s the prescription being trumpeted by the Democrats when they take over the government next January.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:58 PM on 11/20/2008
- JonRaymond See Profile I'm a Fan of JonRaymond permalink

Obama is cutting taxes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:36 PM on 11/20/2008
- jc6565 See Profile I'm a Fan of jc6565 permalink

As someone else notes, the problem was in reducing federal outlays in an effort to a long time fiscal conservative to bring things into balance. The taxes were of no effect.

Moreover, this is just another typical doctrinaire Republican bit of idiocy tested again and again and proven false every time. The big lie that came in with Bush was conservative, supply side economics lifted from an incompleted work on Say's Law in 1785. The whole notion of stimulus by the government is contrary to Republican ideology - or so they claim -- but inevitably do what Bush has been doing for seven years, pouring stimulus into a flagging economy and cutting taxes on cronys and rich to lower levels than the poor pay.

Roosevelt recognized his mistake and moved to fix it. Hoover didn't which is why the recession he triggered started six months in and continued until February, 1943, each month worse than the one before. The final two just as FDR came in were the worse yet. Suddenly the recession ended with FDR's first month. How? First he took some very good early steps. But he also made mistakes. But he was a man the people and the country respected and trusted. Not the man who looked the other way for months, considering the economic collapse a virtuous thing for free markets.

the Republicans also pushed through the Smooth-Hawley Tariff of 1930, which raised the price of imports by 60 percent in most goods.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:55 PM on 11/20/2008
- flossophy See Profile I'm a Fan of flossophy permalink

jc6565..."...cutting taxes on cronys and rich to lower levels than the poor pay."

Utterly wrong. Who told you this nonsense? HuffPuff? DailyKos?

Allow me to point something out: Remember Enron? Remember the fallout from that debacle? We were all made very aware of the scandal that affected thousands of people's pensions. Shame on them, right?

Fast forward to today... here we have an economic crisis an order of magnitude larger than Enron.

Enron = pebble of sand,
Fannie & Freddie = the beach.

Yet all of the people involved in driving FM&FM into the ground while blocking reform are off scott-free, some may go into Obama's cabinet... and some of them, Barney Frank & Chris Dodd are still running the show.

Intellectually honest Leftists & Democrats should be outraged... a peculiar silence.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:21 PM on 11/20/2008
- research See Profile I'm a Fan of research permalink

Please read up on the Great Depression with this time line:
http://www.hyperhistory.com/online_n2/connections_n2/great_depression.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:29 PM on 11/20/2008
- jc6565 See Profile I'm a Fan of jc6565 permalink

Anyone who would use Hyperhistory.com has a screw loose -- if I agree with them. Hyperhistory is filled with errors that make Wikipedia look like a biblical text tossed at your a parting of the clouds and a big booming voice.

It is mostly plagiarized and when you see a piece there that makes sense, it's because someone has finally gotten tired of the argumentative 17-year-old who cobbled it together as a school projected. (I'm not making this up). He may be a little older now, but he has less than zero interest in accuracy, but he loves the mentions people give him. Atrocious.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:40 PM on 11/20/2008
- research See Profile I'm a Fan of research permalink

No, that's not correct.

CUTTING SPENDING was the problem.

Taxes were raise in 1935 to 63 %

Economy did well in 1936.

So well they thought they could slow the spending down. The Taxes were already up.

It's the GOP plan to cut spending that will drive us into the greatest Depression.

War or Solar.

Choose.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:04 PM on 11/20/2008
- flossophy See Profile I'm a Fan of flossophy permalink

FarOutFish is correct.

Saying the economy 'did well' in 1936... perhaps when comparing to the previous years, but was by no means a healthy economy.

war or solar? what kind of question is that... I choose Solar War! The Sun is too damn hot, we must thwart it's expansionist power!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:43 PM on 11/20/2008
- plc See Profile I'm a Fan of plc permalink

as usual the right argue with talking points and the left argue the facts, not rocket science but until america pays attention we cannot advance our society past the rights nonsense and prejudice against intellect.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:32 PM on 11/20/2008
- flossophy See Profile I'm a Fan of flossophy permalink

That doesn't make much sense... There are intellectuals on the right & the left. Our society is benefiting from the debate on both sides.

I would argue the Right is more objectively looking at history and the effects of policy on society. The Left seems to believe in certain policies, even when they've failed... yet they try to implement them again, hoping for a different result.

If this assumption is accurate - who has the smarter intellectuals?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:45 PM on 11/20/2008
- LightningJoe See Profile I'm a Fan of LightningJoe permalink

flossophy, your statement is itself proof of plc's point.

Stating that there are "intellectuals" on the Reich is a dodge, when you look at the supposedly "intellectual" content of their utterances. As you can witness above, Will trots out nothing more than a "free markets" soundbite, whereas Krugman actually knows what he's talking about.

This reminds me of other Reich violations of common sense, such as -- oh yeah -- you, claiming that soundbites are intellectual utterances!

If the Reich is "more objective," then why aren't their policies more accurate and efficacious? If they have the inside line on policy's "effects on society," then we can only assume that for twenty-plus years they've been ruining the country for a purpose, rather than just not caring about people at all.

Needless to say, this does not endear me to them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:28 PM on 11/20/2008
- JohninPA See Profile I'm a Fan of JohninPA permalink

I'd argue that if the last eight years of history is the result of "the Right...more objectively looking at history and the effects of policy" you need to get your head examined.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:21 PM on 11/20/2008
- UberReaganite See Profile I'm a Fan of UberReaganite permalink

So, we can clearly see that the policies of our Republican leadership for the past 30 years and failure of both parties to actually implement any positive change for America have resulted in our current world economic crisis.
So tell me, what have contemporary leaders done to make America better that is even worth mentioning? Yes, I know....nothing, quite the opposite. you cant produce one fact on this thread in their defense. Nothing...
I said this before and I'll say it again. FDR had POLIO and he suffered and DIED working hard serving this great nation and the WORKING man. He implemented policies and projects 70 years ago that greatly contribute to our nations infrastructure TO THIS DAY. He led us in a REAL war, a war we were not ready for and a war we won a great victory in. So when you speak of FDR you had best humble your unworthy self because there isn't a damn thing any of YOU or Ronald Reagan or any Bush has ever done that even comes close to those significant unslefish accomplishments on behalf of our nation that Franklin Delano Roosevelt made.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:02 PM on 11/20/2008
- flossophy See Profile I'm a Fan of flossophy permalink

I'll reiterate a previous post (from page 1 or 2 on this thread) for UberReaganite:

Do you think we would have this financial crisis if the government didn't force banks to loan to people who were unqualified for home loans? Only then to have Fannie & Freddie (govt-backed / poorly managed) buy up all those junk mortgages (and other subprime loans) and bundle them into securities.

?

You seem quite knowledgeable... let's say this take on the financial crisis is accurate:

http://www.ibdeditorial.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=310173877357981

Would you still fault the free market or GOP policies?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:23 PM on 11/20/2008
- LightningJoe See Profile I'm a Fan of LightningJoe permalink

(sigh...)

You seem the kind who's swayed by appearances -- and/or wish to create appearances that others may be swayed by.

Why else respond to a comment of unrelieved excoriation of Republicans, by saying "you seem quite knowledgable" -- unless that was supercilious faux-flattery?

I read your link (soundbite followed by soundbite, gramatically masquerading as logical arguments), until I ran across the highlighted description of ACORN as a "radical" organization. After seeing that, I knew the rest of a long read would be time utterly wasted. If getting people into homes of their own is "radical," if registering citizens to vote their consciences is "radical," then one need look no further, to know the agenda of those who pose such "arguments."

Those behind such sentiments only see the profits to be made by keeping people disadvantaged and uninformed. To them, making sure citizens can cast informed votes is subversive, because the next step will be that citizens WILL start casting informed votes that bolster their own best interests.

Good-bye cash-cows! The end of the "consumer culture!" Based on buying the goods the rich Corporatists offer us, complete with the least (monetary) costs, bolstered by ignorance of the real full-system costs; goods planned to decay into uselessness and/or obsolescence in time for the next holiday/consuming season.

Give me a policy any day, that supports people and real information, over a tweaked fantasy of endless resources, to consume and throw "away."

Long live ACORN!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:07 PM on 11/20/2008
- klipm See Profile I'm a Fan of klipm permalink

Sorry, this comment belongs 5 pages back.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:55 PM on 11/20/2008
- klipm See Profile I'm a Fan of klipm permalink

I added turkey into the mix because even though they are staunch alies, that border still comprises of a mixed ethnicities. We have had joint mission there to try and secure those areas. And when we pull out the opposition moves in again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:54 PM on 11/20/2008
- closedeyes2008 See Profile I'm a Fan of closedeyes2008 permalink

Right On!!! Well said, UberReaganite!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:38 PM on 11/20/2008
- UberReaganite See Profile I'm a Fan of UberReaganite permalink

Once again I will assert that investment funded by DEBT is an illusion of wealth and a poor economic foundation. Japan learned this the hard way in the 90s now so has the entire world. During the 20s people and companies were increasing debt just to reinvest the money so the entire market was a house of cards waiting to fall. Banks lent $9 for every $1 of real assets so much of that investment during the boom was actually debt based investment and an illusion. As some of you have stated borrowing and spending are essential but the key ingredients to disaster are the ones the Republicans keep hoisting as good market principles. Deregulate the market and let greedy corporations police themselves, bail out failed and irresponsible non-competitive industries, tax the lower classes and reduce taxes on the wealthy, and spend at a ridiculous level incompatible with income revenue. That irresponsible behavior is what we have seen for the past 30 years and it is what got us to where we are now. We dont have to balance the budget but you DO have to work toward that. You dont have to pay off the debt and create a credit environment based on REAL assets but you DO need to work toward that and for all your blustering you must admit America has not done those things at all for many years and that is why we tanked the world economy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:12 PM on 11/20/2008
- UberReaganite See Profile I'm a Fan of UberReaganite permalink

People are confusing America's formal participation in WWII with America's PREPARATIONS for war as far as ending the Depression. America did not enter WWII until Dec 7, 1941, until that time we were avoiding the war. The Depression was effectively over by 1939. War did not end the Great Depression, GOVERNMENT FINANCED war programs did. FDR financed American businesss' to support the Allies in WWII LONG before we were formally in the war. So, once again, you can split hairs on what government sponsored projects actually resulted in the end of the Great Depression but it was the government financing business' and public works projects that eventually lifted us out of the depression, not War itself.

In fact, it was the fact that America was not even ready for war and required a huge influx of spending into defense contracting to get ready that created the huge growth in jobs. Today we maintain modern, well equipped armed forces well deployed at forward locations so there is no comparison to the level of economic bolstering required to actually go to war on a large scale. Today Haliburton and other private companies make all the money from the effort and some does get back into the economy but only a very small amount. War creates debt now that does not get paid off because there is no war divedend now like there was in WWII.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:50 AM on 11/20/2008
- DuganS1 See Profile I'm a Fan of DuganS1 permalink

One major reason the US economy rose from the great depression was because of massive war related export orders coming from Western Europe and other places. That probably made much more of a positive impact on economic growth than domestic war preparations.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:19 PM on 11/20/2008
- UberReaganite See Profile I'm a Fan of UberReaganite permalink

Those nations had no money so either they were extended credit or the U.S. paid for it which results in the same - government funded industry initiatives. The bottom line is that FDR was not perfect but he inherited the Depression, he did not create it. He came into office when it was in full swing and all he did was do his very best to help America out of it. And he did! Ideas like the Federal Reserve and his public works projects were good, sound ideas that still contribute TO THIS DAY. Even social security is a great and nobel idea. It is the way future administrations failed to propely budget for growth and infaltion to fund these legacy programs that has caused problems with these programs, not the original idea.

As you economics majors know, results dont happen overnight and sometimes there are many overlapping and conflicting factors that finally result in change over time. I would add that the war effort was on credit and any economic benefits from it would not even be felt till years after war production was started so add that to the fact that we didnt even begin major production for the war effort until 1940 and you can clearly see that "the war dividend" for the Depression is really an illusion. Did it help, of course AFTER the fact. Did it actually end the Depression, absolutely not.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:49 PM on 11/20/2008
- hiraeth3 See Profile I'm a Fan of hiraeth3 permalink

...er, I think that's what i said already. It was still 'the war' that ended the Depression even if we were not formally in it because we had switched our economy to virtually a wartime footing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:33 PM on 11/20/2008
- UberReaganite See Profile I'm a Fan of UberReaganite permalink

No, the war did not end the Depression it was simply incidental. You are wrong as are others who oversimplify the connection and screw up the chronology. Government funded business initiatives in conjunction with government sponsored public works projects are what lifted us out of the depression and that was already well implemented by 1939 when the Depression was over in America and long before the war. Extensive war mobilization did not occur for another year to 2 years.

I would assert that even if we did not go to war the policies implemented and the track the government was on at the time would have resulted in the nation exiting the Great Depression. There is a lot of proof of that but there is no proof that what happened at the end of 1941 impacted what occured at the start of 1939. That is a fallacy.

To make a statement like "WWII ended the Great Depression" is a ridiculous oversimplification made by people unfamiliar with the actual timeline. A fact based statement would be "The onset of WWII coincided with the end of the Great Depression".

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:53 PM on 11/20/2008
- owiseone See Profile I'm a Fan of owiseone permalink

Krugman has been sounding the alarms over the lies which led us to war, and the mismanagement, ethical and legal violations of the financial industries for years.

His book, The Great Unraveling, published in 2003 details the "problems" (violations of SEC rules, the transformation of Wall Street into "Ponzi Scheme", the legislation or lack of it which furthered the meltdown, and the members of Congress which furthered the access to making money out of nothing to the taxpayers' detriment).

Krugman is not clairvoyant. He has the expertise of the highly trained economist he is, the common sense to see what was happening, and the courage to say it loud and clear.

Why were "we" (GOP led Congress) not listening?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:34 AM on 11/20/2008
- flossophy See Profile I'm a Fan of flossophy permalink

The GOP w a s listening... and was trying to push oversight and regulation over Fannie & Freddie. The Dems successfully blocked any effort to do so. Here's a C-Span video illustrating this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MGT_cSi7Rs

Anyone concerned about the financial crisis should watch it. Devastating / enlightening stuff.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:20 PM on 11/20/2008
- LightningJoe See Profile I'm a Fan of LightningJoe permalink

Love it. Your link is as much a defense of the Democrats as an indictment of- someone.

The Republicans in that hearing used as much misdirection as the editor of the video did. Don Manzullo (R-IL), for instance, reading off the supposedly out-of-line salaries and bonuses of Fanny officers.

What, are we supposed to gasp in horror, when we hear that Raines earned a $ 526,000 salary and a 1.1 mil bonus? Sorry, but I seem to remember a total package price of $ 46 million, for the CEO of Halliburton not long ago. So I'm fresh out of shock, at the 1.7 mil level.

This cherry-picked, shifted-context video proves nothing -- certainly not what you'd like it to.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:24 AM on 11/21/2008
- Lionsden See Profile I'm a Fan of Lionsden permalink

Okay, that works for me. Krugman is agreeing with John McCain: don't raise taxes. And, of course McCain recommended a freeze in government spending (not a cut).

Maybe Obama will listen?

I didn't see all the interview, just the snippet kindly provided by Huffington Post. But, to dicuss the Depression without discussing how the Federal Reserve caused it is to NOT discuss what really happened.

George Will is right if he was referring to the Federal Reserve (I doubt he was).

Milton Friedman (Noble Prize winner too) along with Anna Schwartz"s said as much in their massive work: A Monetary History of the United States, 1857-1960.

Briefly, the Federal Reserve's purpose was to keep the banks going with cash, but it didn't just before the depression. It actually SHRANK the amount of dollars available in the economy by withholding cash. THIS is why consumers couldn't buy and businesses couldn't pay empolyees. And THIS is why there were no new businesses. And this is why there was hesitation to grow businesses and jobs.

This is why Bush keeps telling Banks to loan money the Federal Reserve/Treasure is now giving them with the 7 billion dollar bailout from a few weeks ago. He doesn't want them to do what the Fed Reserve did long ago: dry up the supply of cash.

It's a complicated subject, but that is how I understand it happened.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:33 AM on 11/20/2008
- erincnyc See Profile I'm a Fan of erincnyc permalink

The message is more government spending. You missed a huge point.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:01 AM on 11/20/2008
- Lionsden See Profile I'm a Fan of Lionsden permalink

erincnyc:

What message? Do you believe in more government spending or less? And is that a good thing in your opinion?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:48 PM on 11/20/2008
- realityczech4u See Profile I'm a Fan of realityczech4u permalink

BEWARE the man with the shifty eyes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:50 AM on 11/20/2008
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